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1003 Rainwater Ln
D- Composite 37.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,500

1003 Rainwater Ln · Rockingham, NC 28379
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1971 0.72 ac lot Est $177k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

Key facts

  • Hvac
  • Living room
  • Hot water heater

Tags

BRICK RANCH HOMELIVING ROOMKITCHEN DINING COMBOLAUNDRY PANTRY COMBOHOT WATER HEATERHVAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.72 acres (dimensions 165 x 99 x 114 x 135); Road frontage on city street and state road; Directions provided in listing
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Parking surfaces include gravel, unpaved, and paved areas
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level is the first floor; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Block, concrete, and brick construction; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No additional exterior features listed; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details listed
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom located downstairs
  • Flooring: No flooring details listed
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Storm windows; Electric water heater; 6 total rooms; Crawl space (no finished basement)
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($653/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#403 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: L J Bell Elementary (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 476 students, 99% FRL); Rockingham Middle (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #343 of 475 statewide, top 73%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Richmond Senior High (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,286 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $157k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,536 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.23%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,648
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 W Temple Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+13%) 0mo $75,000 $53 70
948 Montclair Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+3%) 15mo $182,000 $142 66
933 Montclair Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,311 (+5%) 13mo $130,000 $99 63
1110 Richmond Rd 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+11%) 11mo $249,900 $182 62
1028 Richmond Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-14%) 10mo $200,000 $186 56
804 Aspen Ln 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-2%) 17mo $195,000 $159 56
919 Richmond Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-8%) 13mo $112,455 $99 52
1007 Campbell Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,354 (+9%) 18mo $155,000 $114 49
1605 Birch St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-4%) 13mo $206,000 $172 46
928 Montclair Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,114 (-10%) 22mo $125,000 $112 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-27,295
Equity at exit
$28,255
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-19,527
Equity at exit
$16,384

Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28379

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$994
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,314/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,496
Max offer price $189,500
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,375
Closing costs
$5,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,500 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,500 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,500 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,500 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,500 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,500 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,500 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,500 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,500 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,500 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,500 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,500 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,500 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,500 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,500 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,500 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,500 Active 40 DOM
  18. 2026-05-21
    price $189,500
  19. 2026-04-20
    listed $195,000 Active
  20. 2023-08-01
    soldstatus $157,000 Closed 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  21. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus $157,000
  22. 2023-06-19
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  23. 2023-06-14
    status Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  24. 2023-06-14
    price $150,000 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  25. 2023-05-17
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  26. 2023-05-16
    status Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  27. 2023-04-21
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  28. 2023-02-10
    price $159,900 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  29. 2022-11-18
    status Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  30. 2022-11-01
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  31. 2022-10-27
    status Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  32. 2022-10-25
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  33. 2022-10-24
    listed $165,000 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED $20,000!! SELLER NOW SELLING AS/IS!! Attention First Time Home Buyers!! Take a look at this adorable, 3 bedroom, 1 bath home, brick ranch style home, centrally located in the heart of Richmond County. This 1200 square foot home features a nice sized living room, kitchen/dining combo, laundry/pantry area, with fresh paint throughout, new carpet and flooring throughout, new hot water heater, new HVAC, and so much more!! Put this one on your must see list ASAP because this one surely won't last long!!

  34. 2019-05-02
    soldstatus $78,000
  35. 2014-01-09
    soldstatus $63,500
  36. 1991-11-13
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,314 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,554 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 18.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,784
− Mortgage interest
−$10,615
− Property taxes
−$1,314
− Insurance
−$948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$5,513
Taxable loss
−$2,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$626
After-tax cash flow
$1,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County Schools
NCES district ID
3703870
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,224
Composite
26.97/100
National rank
#7076
State rank
#139 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rockingham

Score
63/100
State rank
#403
US rank
#15356

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockingham, NC
City population
24,068
Population (ZIP)
24,068

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,892 people
By 2030
41,257 · -3.8%
By 2040
37,629 · -12.3%
By 2050
33,655 · -21.5%
By 2075
23,992 · -44.1%
By 2100
14,782 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.10%
Current HPI
203.0628
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+531.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $189,500 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $195,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-08-01 Sold (MLS) $157,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-19 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-14 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-14 Price Changed $150,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-05-17 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2023-05-16 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2023-04-21 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2023-02-10 Price Changed $159,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-18 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-01 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-27 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-25 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-24 Listed $165,000 Hive MLS
  • 2019-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
  • 1991-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,314 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…