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605 Falcon Crst
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

605 Falcon Crst · Plant City, FL 33565
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 145 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gated, 55+ golf community in charming Plant City, Florida. Affordable active senior living! Built in 2016 this nearly new, 2 comfortably sized bedrooms, 2 full baths (including one en-suite) mobile home is on a lake lot with amazing sunset views from the screen porch off the owners suite. A relaxing place to enjoy coffee, a book, or an afternoon nap. Recently Painted drywall (not your typical mobile home panels) gives a fresh bright and neutral interior. As you enter from the front door you'll see only vinyl and laminate flooring, no dated carpeting in this home. All appliances included. Ceiling fans in living room, master bedroom and front screened porch. Central air and heat. Washer and dryer inside the home. Large attached carport with room enough for 2+ vehicles. Storage shed under the homes roof allows for clean, dry and secure storage. This fantastic home has 3 screen rooms; one to the rear with peaceful lake view and stunning evening sunsets, one to the side on concrete slab offering potential for future enclosure/build out and one at the front entrance. This home is fresh, clean and move in ready offering a leased lot with low monthly lot rent (currently $886 a month) which covers water, trash and all park amenities (pool, spa, pickle ball/tennis, clubhouse for bingo, card clubs, karaoke, social gatherings, library, pool tables, etc). The Lakes of Countrywood park is close to I-4 for easy access to Tampa and Orlando. Call now to set up a showing.

Key facts

  • Gated golf community
  • Lake lot
  • Sunset views

Tags

GATED GOLF COMMUNITYLAKE LOTSUNSET VIEWSSCREEN PORCHRECENTLY PAINTED DRYWALLVINYL AND LAMINATE FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.06%
Cap rate
27.04%
Cash-on-cash
74.08%
DSCR
4.30
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.4%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$48,373
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
68.8%
Equity multiple
7.99×
Total profit
$117,198
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
307
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,835 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$910

Break-even live

Break-even rent $682
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-01-24
    listed $59,900 Active 1478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1478 chars)

    Gated, 55+ golf community in charming Plant City, Florida. Affordable active senior living! Built in 2016 this nearly new, 2 comfortably sized bedrooms, 2 full baths (including one en-suite) mobile home is on a lake lot with amazing sunset views from the screen porch off the owners suite. A relaxing place to enjoy coffee, a book, or an afternoon nap. Recently Painted drywall (not your typical mobile home panels) gives a fresh bright and neutral interior. As you enter from the front door you'll see only vinyl and laminate flooring, no dated carpeting in this home. All appliances included. Ceiling fans in living room, master bedroom and front screened porch. Central air and heat. Washer and dryer inside the home. Large attached carport with room enough for 2+ vehicles. Storage shed under the homes roof allows for clean, dry and secure storage. This fantastic home has 3 screen rooms; one to the rear with peaceful lake view and stunning evening sunsets, one to the side on concrete slab offering potential for future enclosure/build out and one at the front entrance. This home is fresh, clean and move in ready offering a leased lot with low monthly lot rent (currently $886 a month) which covers water, trash and all park amenities (pool, spa, pickle ball/tennis, clubhouse for bingo, card clubs, karaoke, social gatherings, library, pool tables, etc). The Lakes of Countrywood park is close to I-4 for easy access to Tampa and Orlando. Call now to set up a showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,016
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$1,802
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,761
− Management
−$1,761
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$10,695
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,567
After-tax cash flow
$8,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This nearly new mobile home in a gated 55+ golf community offers a relaxing living space with modern updates and a lake view. It is move-in ready with minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the ceiling fans to energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — Enhances energy efficiency and adds a modern touch

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the ceiling fans to energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — Enhances energy efficiency and adds a modern touch

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.17%
Current HPI
347.2475
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $59,900 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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