460 Idlewood Blvd · Village Green, NY 13027

$149,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 903 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1975 7.53 ac lot Est $152k · at est. $195/mo HOA · 11% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.4/30.0
• ARV discount +8.3/15.0
• 1% rule +6.5/10.0
• DSCR +6.1/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Spacious two-bedroom condo located in the desirable Village Green community. This updated unit features an open floor plan with a large living room and dining area, perfect for comfortable everyday living and entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring, fresh paint throughout, and a beautifully renovated bathroom. Additional features include an individual storage unit and convenient on-site laundry facilities. Ideally situated near Route 690, the City of Syracuse, the Village of Baldwinsville, and a variety of shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Offered at $145,000. Preapproval letter required prior to scheduling a showing.

Key facts

• Spacious livingroom
• Grey lvt flooring
• New bathtub

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS LIVINGROOM
• SHIPLAP ACCENT WALLS
• GREY LVT FLOORING
• NEW BATHTUB
• MODERN VANITY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.3% in Village Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#720 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Baldwinsville Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $44k; list at $149k implies a 235% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $149,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.79%
• DSCR: 1.21
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $151,704
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
471 Idlewood Blvd	0.01mi	2/1.0	903 (0%)	8mo	$140,000	$155	93
558 Village Blvd N	0.04mi	2/1.0	903 (0%)	9mo	$152,000	$168	91
577 Village Blvd N	0.06mi	2/1.0	903 (0%)	13mo	$145,157	$161	86
637 Village Blvd N	0.26mi	2/1.5	962 (+6%)	3mo	$180,000	$187	72
379 Village Blvd N	0.16mi	2/1.0	832 (-8%)	10mo	$120,000	$144	71
689 Idlewood Blvd	0.28mi	2/1.0	853 (-6%)	10mo	$150,000	$176	69
449 Idlewood Blvd	0.32mi	2/1.0	832 (-8%)	8mo	$145,000	$174	65
355 Village Blvd N	0.38mi	2/1.0	834 (-8%)	6mo	$137,000	$164	64
576 Village Blvd N	0.06mi	1/1.0 (-1)	772 (-14%)	6mo	$120,000	$155	63
377 Village Blvd N	0.40mi	2/1.0	806 (-11%)	8mo	$155,900	$193	57
773 S Village Blvd S	0.56mi	2/1.5	960 (+6%)	16mo	$160,000	$167	47
121 Softwind Cir	0.60mi	2/1.5	1,020 (+13%)	2mo	$180,000	$176	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-13,427
• Equity at exit: $22,216

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.06×
• Total profit: $2,442
• Equity at exit: $12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13027

• Active inventory: 222
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,709 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax from tax record: −$145 /mo · $1,739/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$195
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$359
• Net cashflow: $166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,498

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
555 Village Blvd N Baldwinsville, NY	3.0	1.5	1043	$1,900	$1.82	13d	1	0.01mi
489 Idlewood Blvd #489 Baldwinsville, NY	2.0	1.0	903	$1,550	$1.72	13d	1	0.07mi
327 Village Blvd N Baldwinsville, NY	2.0	1.0	806	$1,500	$1.86	21d	1	0.44mi
10 Cedarwood Blvd Baldwinsville, NY	3.0	1.0–2.0	725	$1,438	$1.98	13d	1	0.64mi
2814 Cold Springs Rd Baldwinsville, NY	1.0	1.0	950	$1,900	$2.00	21d	1	1.47mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $195 · $2,340/yr

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-01
   status $149,000 Pending 1 DOM
2. 2026-05-30
   pricedays on marketlisting id $149,000 Active 1 DOM
3. 2026-05-26
   listed $145,000 Active
4. 2012-06-11
   soldstatus $44,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,739 · $145/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,128 · $177/mo
• Expected delta: +$390/yr (+$32/mo · 22.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,502
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$1,739
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,640
• − Management: −$1,640
• − HOA: −$2,340
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable loss: −$283
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$68
• After-tax cash flow: $2,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baldwinsville Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3603870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $65,182
• Composite: 44.22/100
• National rank: #2848
• State rank: #355 of 590 in NY

Livability — Village Green

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #720
• US rank: #13628

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Village Green, NY
• County: Onondaga County · 247,257 people
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• Population (ZIP): 35,088
• Household income: $91,797
• Rent vs Own: 30.9% rent · 69.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1057.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 467,894 people
• By 2030: 463,381 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 447,697 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 426,399 · -8.9%
• By 2075: 373,661 · -20.1%
• By 2100: 307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Subsaharan African 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

• 2024 margin: D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -204.01%
• Current HPI: 321.8247
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+225.8% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $145,000 FSBO.com
• 2012-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,739 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.