10201 N 99th Ave #96 · Peoria, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.5
$167,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The 1344 square feet manufactured home at Sevilla Sol in Peoria, AZ, offers a spacious and comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Built in 2024 by Cavco, the home has a modern design and features a welcoming foyer, a cozy living room, a master bedroom with a walk-in closet, a well-equipped kitchen, a breakfast nook, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior of the home includes a carport for parking, a covered porch for relaxing outdoors. Sevilla Sol is a vibrant community in Peoria, AZ, that offers residents a range of amenities and activities to enjoy. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Sevilla Sol is an ideal place to call home for those looking for a convenient and active lifestyle. Residents can also take advantage of the beautiful Arizona weather by exploring the nearby parks and hiking trails or simply relaxing in the sun by the community pool.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Cozy living room
- Modern design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $167k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($991/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (6.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
- Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sun Valley Elementary School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #623 of 1,109 statewide, top 57%, 806 students, 65% FRL); Raymond S. Kellis (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #114 of 381 statewide, top 30%, 1,817 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 35% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 410 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 443 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 443 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.11%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,724
- List price
- $167,400
- Delta
- -17.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10201 N 99th Ave #166 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 10701 N 99th Ave #186 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $35 | 68 |
| 10701 N 99 Ave #209 | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $58 | 65 |
| 10701 N 99th Ave #51 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $23,000 | $16 | 63 |
| 11275 N 99th Ave #119 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $190 | 59 |
| 10701 N 99th Ave #115 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 12mo | $82,900 | $66 | 58 |
| 11275 N 99th Ave #61 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 4mo | $268,500 | $192 | 58 |
| 11275 N 99th Ave #31 | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (+0%) | 17mo | $281,000 | $209 | 57 |
| 11275 N 99th Ave #118 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,273 (-5%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 10701 N 99th Ave #254 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 14mo | $43,000 | $36 | 46 |
| 10701 N 99th Ave #231 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-11%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $38 | 44 |
| 11275 N 99th Ave #14 | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,510 (+12%) | 17mo | $310,000 | $205 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-25,512
- Equity at exit
- $24,960
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-29,703
- Equity at exit
- $14,474
Cash invested: $46,872 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 25 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.7 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $79,000 ($62/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- 84% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +145.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85345
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$878
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$209 /mo · $2,511/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $140 | +0% $83 | +5% $25 | +10% $-33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-41 | -5% $21 | +0% $83 | +5% $145 | +10% $207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $125 | base $83 | +0.5pp $39 | +1.0pp $-5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,850
- Closing costs
- $5,022
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10007 W Clair Dr Sun City, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,750 | $2.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10110 N 97th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 9920 N 97th Dr Unit B Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9920 N 97th Dr Unit B Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 28d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10104 N 96th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,750 | $1.63 | 73d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10822 N Balboa Dr Sun City, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $3,000 | $3.18 | 73d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9626 W Mountain View Rd Unit A Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 93d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10022 W Lakeview Cir N Sun City, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,800 | $1.78 | 73d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10316 N 94th Ln Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 73d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 9911 N 95th Dr Unit B Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1072 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9426 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1405 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 66d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9715 W Carol Ave Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9427 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,869 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9427 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,994 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10350 W Camden Ave Sun City, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $2,850 | $2.02 | 73d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,985 | $1.52 | 73d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,085 | $1.60 | 93d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9702 N 93rd Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,365 | $1.64 | 28d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9820 W Sanna St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,190 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9247 W Brown St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 9d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9247 W Brown St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9247 W Brown St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9680 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 945 | $1,799 | $1.90 | 2d | 8 | 0.79mi |
| 9358 W Sanna St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,995 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9358 W Sanna St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,995 | $1.51 | 39d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9358 W Sanna St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,895 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9625 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1485 | $2,799 | $1.88 | 0d | 8 | 0.96mi |
| 9221 W Gary Rd Peoria, AZ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 93d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10101 N 91st Ave #109 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1161 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 39d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9002 W Malapai Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $2,040 | $1.61 | 69d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,899 | $1.46 | 93d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,899 | $1.46 | 40d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10421 W Puget Ave Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 73d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11411 N 91st Ave Unit 134 Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,599 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8940 W Olive Ave #70 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 34d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 11309 N 89th Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1663 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 41d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11309 N 89th Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1663 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 40d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8834 W Purdue Ave Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 52d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10729 W Sun City Blvd Sun City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 73d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8940 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 897 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 66d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $167,400 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $167,400 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $167,400 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $167,400 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $167,400 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $167,400 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $167,400 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $167,400 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $167,400 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $167,400 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $167,400 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $167,400 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $167,400 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $167,400 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $167,400 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $167,400 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $167,400 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $167,400 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $167,400 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $167,400 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $167,400 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $167,400 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $167,400 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $167,400 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $167,400 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $167,400 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $167,400 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $167,400 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $167,400 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $167,400 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $167,400 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $167,400 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $167,400 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $167,400 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $167,400 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $167,400 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,400 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,400 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,400 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,400 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,400 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,400 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,400 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,400 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $167,400 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,400 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,400 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,400 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,400 Active 381 DOM
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2025-10-18price $167,400 907-char remark
Show marketing remark (907 chars)
The 1344 square feet manufactured home at Sevilla Sol in Peoria, AZ, offers a spacious and comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Built in 2024 by Cavco, the home has a modern design and features a welcoming foyer, a cozy living room, a master bedroom with a walk-in closet, a well-equipped kitchen, a breakfast nook, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior of the home includes a carport for parking, a covered porch for relaxing outdoors. Sevilla Sol is a vibrant community in Peoria, AZ, that offers residents a range of amenities and activities to enjoy. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Sevilla Sol is an ideal place to call home for those looking for a convenient and active lifestyle. Residents can also take advantage of the beautiful Arizona weather by exploring the nearby parks and hiking trails or simply relaxing in the sun by the community pool.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,377
- − Property taxes
- −$2,511
- − Insurance
- −$837
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$4,870
- Taxable loss
- −$1,780
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$427
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This modern manufactured home is in excellent condition with a spacious and well-maintained interior and exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior enhancements to further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — Can increase the appeal of the covered porch and potentially increase rental income for a vacation rental property. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria Unified School District (4237)
- NCES district ID
- 0406250
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,171
- Composite
- 34.62/100
- National rank
- #5152
- State rank
- #64 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #3603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,979,203 people
- City population
- 206,687
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,918
- Household income
- $67,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.77%
- Current HPI
- 328.1069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-1.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $167,400 Zillow
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $169,900 Zillow
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $167,400 Zillow
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $169,900 Zillow
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $167,400 Zillow
- 2025-07-12 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-07-12 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-05-15 Listed $169,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…