Duplex
701 4th St E · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$370,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Large up and down duplex located on St Pauls East Side featuring two spacious 3-bedroom units with strong long-term rental appeal. Convenient access to downtown St Paul, public transportation, Mississippi Market Co-Op, and the restaurants, shopping, and entertainment along East 7th Street continue to support strong demand throughout this growing East Side corridor. Property features a unique full-depth lot spanning the width of the block with street frontage on both ends, creating uncommon long-term redevelopment potential. Additional features include a detached garage and exceptionally large unit layouts uncommon for traditional duplex properties. Utilities are currently partially owner-pa
Key facts
- 8,537 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished living area about 3,050 (building total area approx. 5,447); Main level finished area approx. 1,525; Lot approx. 0.196 acres (dimensions ~40 x 214)
- Financial info: Two rental units total; Gross annual income reported at $42,660; Owner pays electricity, gas, trash collection and water; tenants pay electricity and gas; Standard rental license in place
- HOA & community: Association offers laundry
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage (23 x 22) with 7' door height and 8' door width
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: electric and natural gas
- Home design: Residential income duplex (up and down); Two-story building; Not owner-occupied
- Construction: Constructed with block, concrete and frame materials; Block/brick/concrete perimeter foundation (foundation dimensions approx. 25 x 61); Asphalt pitched roof (over 8 years old)
- Exterior features: Stucco and wood exterior; Full yard fencing; Front porch and terrace; Lot slopes; close to public transit (within ~6 blocks); City street frontage with curbs and paved streets; public road maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes a range and refrigerator; Gas water heaters
- Bedrooms: Six bedrooms total (distributed across two units: each unit has three bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Each unit has one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Boiler hot water heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement with owner and single-tenant access; 36+ inch doorways for accessibility; Front porch and terrace
- Laundry & utility: Common laundry room in basement; Association laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $831/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $370k).
- Recommended offer: $359k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,333/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $370k implies a 612% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.22%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $63,940
- Equity at exit
- $55,243
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $271,530
- Equity at exit
- $32,034
Cash invested: $103,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55106
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,333 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,943
- Tax from tax record
- −$454 /mo · $5,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,120
- Net cashflow
- $1,662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,871 | -5% $1,767 | +0% $1,662 | +5% $1,557 | +10% $1,452 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,240 | -5% $1,451 | +0% $1,662 | +5% $1,872 | +10% $2,083 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,848 | -0.5pp $1,756 | base $1,662 | +0.5pp $1,566 | +1.0pp $1,468 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $5,332 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,666 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,666 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,333 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,625
- Closing costs
- $11,115
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $370,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $370,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $370,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $370,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $370,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $370,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $370,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $370,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $370,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $370,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $370,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $370,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $370,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$370,500 Active 907-char remark
-
2026-05-15historical $370,500 907-char remark
-
1998-06-08soldstatus $52,000
-
1998-06-08soldstatus $67,000
-
1998-02-20soldstatus $67,000
-
1998-01-16historical
-
1997-12-05$75,000
-
1990-04-09soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,448 · $454/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,448 · $454/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,996
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,754
- − Property taxes
- −$5,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,852
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,120
- − Management
- −$5,120
- − Depreciation
- −$10,778
- Taxable income
- $14,924
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,708
- Household income
- $70,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2046.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.48%
- Current HPI
- 288.7205
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.26%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+561.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $370,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $370,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1998-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-20 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-01-16 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-12-05 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,448 · -23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…