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701 4th St E Duplex
B- Composite 68.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$370,500

701 4th St E · St. Paul, MN 55106
7 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,974 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1900 8,537 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Large up and down duplex located on St Pauls East Side featuring two spacious 3-bedroom units with strong long-term rental appeal. Convenient access to downtown St Paul, public transportation, Mississippi Market Co-Op, and the restaurants, shopping, and entertainment along East 7th Street continue to support strong demand throughout this growing East Side corridor. Property features a unique full-depth lot spanning the width of the block with street frontage on both ends, creating uncommon long-term redevelopment potential. Additional features include a detached garage and exceptionally large unit layouts uncommon for traditional duplex properties. Utilities are currently partially owner-pa

Key facts

  • 8,537 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished living area about 3,050 (building total area approx. 5,447); Main level finished area approx. 1,525; Lot approx. 0.196 acres (dimensions ~40 x 214)
  • Financial info: Two rental units total; Gross annual income reported at $42,660; Owner pays electricity, gas, trash collection and water; tenants pay electricity and gas; Standard rental license in place
  • HOA & community: Association offers laundry

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (23 x 22) with 7' door height and 8' door width
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: electric and natural gas
  • Home design: Residential income duplex (up and down); Two-story building; Not owner-occupied
  • Construction: Constructed with block, concrete and frame materials; Block/brick/concrete perimeter foundation (foundation dimensions approx. 25 x 61); Asphalt pitched roof (over 8 years old)
  • Exterior features: Stucco and wood exterior; Full yard fencing; Front porch and terrace; Lot slopes; close to public transit (within ~6 blocks); City street frontage with curbs and paved streets; public road maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a range and refrigerator; Gas water heaters
  • Bedrooms: Six bedrooms total (distributed across two units: each unit has three bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has one full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Boiler hot water heating
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement with owner and single-tenant access; 36+ inch doorways for accessibility; Front porch and terrace
  • Laundry & utility: Common laundry room in basement; Association laundry available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $831/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $370k).
  • Recommended offer: $359k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,333/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $370k implies a 612% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $359,385 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.68%
Cash-on-cash
19.22%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$63,940
Equity at exit
$55,243
10-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$271,530
Equity at exit
$32,034

Cash invested: $103,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55106

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,943
Tax from tax record
$454 /mo · $5,448/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,120
Net cashflow
$1,662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,230
Max offer price $370,500
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,871 -5% $1,767 +0% $1,662 +5% $1,557 +10% $1,452
Rent -10% $1,240 -5% $1,451 +0% $1,662 +5% $1,872 +10% $2,083
Rate -1.0pp $1,848 -0.5pp $1,756 base $1,662 +0.5pp $1,566 +1.0pp $1,468

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,625
Closing costs
$11,115
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $370,500 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $370,500 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $370,500 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $370,500 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $370,500 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $370,500 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $370,500 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $370,500 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $370,500 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $370,500 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $370,500 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $370,500 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $370,500 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-16
    listed $370,500 Active 907-char remark
  15. 2026-05-15
    historical $370,500 907-char remark
  16. 1998-06-08
    soldstatus $52,000
  17. 1998-06-08
    soldstatus $67,000
  18. 1998-02-20
    soldstatus $67,000
  19. 1998-01-16
    historical
  20. 1997-12-05
    listed $75,000
  21. 1990-04-09
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,448 · $454/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,448 · $454/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,996
− Mortgage interest
−$20,754
− Property taxes
−$5,448
− Insurance
−$1,852
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,120
− Management
−$5,120
− Depreciation
−$10,778
Taxable income
$14,924
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,582
After-tax cash flow
$16,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
56,708
Household income
$70,187
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
2046.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.48%
Current HPI
288.7205
Rent YoY
▲ 6.26%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+561.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $370,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $370,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 1998-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-20 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-01-16 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-12-05 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,448 · -23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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