5913 Beechcraft St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very spacious, comfortable 3 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths Townhouse, good size patio and fenced up driveway. Washer/Dryer hookups downstairs; Good size Kitchen dinning combo and very spacious living room besides a downstairs bedroom. Two bedrooms upstairs and two full baths, one of them is in the principal bedroom. Public transportation and many businesses around for convenience. Buyer should verify measurement. Public transportation and all type of businesses in the area. Owner never occupied the property. CURRENTLY LEASED until 7/31/2026 for $1200 and SUCH LEASE need to be honored by the Buyer.
Key facts
- Fenced up driveway
- Washer dryer hookups
- Good size patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,661/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1767% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 414 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 6186% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $70k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 414 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.23%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,902
- List price
- $88,000
- Delta
- 15.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5116 Lakeview Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-0%) | 1mo | $112,500 | $80 | 63 |
| 6530 Coveview Ct | 0.65mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $57 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $24,068
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $57,881
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70126
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,661 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $841/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $678
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5920 Boeing St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1340 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4441 Cessna Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4211 Downman Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 4409 Skyview Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4522 Shalimar Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4527 Shalimar Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1174 | $1,550 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4722 Shalimar Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4745 Francis Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4819 21 Francis Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,880 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4718 Reynes St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,475 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6628 Harbourview Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7404 Sussex Pl New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4722 Mithra St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1295 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7225 Chef Menteur Hwy New Orleans, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 739 | $994 | $1.35 | 2d | 10 | 0.99mi |
| 5747 Pauline Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4452 Plum Orchard Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5925 Pauline Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,325 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7611 Mayfair Pl New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7621 Alabama St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5704 Count Ln New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1572 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4941 Pecan St Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4745 Tulip St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7702 Belcrest Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7502 Chef Menteur Hwy New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6027 Wales St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6025 Wales St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1147 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7918 W Laverne St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,750 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6030 Kuebel Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6032 Kuebel Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8003 W Laverne St Unit 8003 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5550 Press Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4808 Viola St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,000 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $88,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2025-11-24price $88,000 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Very spacious, comfortable 3 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths Townhouse, good size patio and fenced up driveway. Washer/Dryer hookups downstairs; Good size Kitchen dinning combo and very spacious living room besides a downstairs bedroom. Two bedrooms upstairs and two full baths, one of them is in the principal bedroom. Public transportation and many businesses around for convenience. Buyer should verify measurement. Public transportation and all type of businesses in the area. Owner never occupied the property. CURRENTLY LEASED until 7/31/2026 for $1200 and SUCH LEASE need to be honored by the Buyer.
-
2025-11-19price $88,000 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Very spacious, comfortable 3 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths Townhouse, good size patio and fenced up driveway. Washer/Dryer hookups downstairs; Good size Kitchen dinning combo and very spacious living room besides a downstairs bedroom. Two bedrooms upstairs and two full baths, one of them is in the principal bedroom. Public transportation and many businesses around for convenience. Buyer should verify measurement. Public transportation and all type of businesses in the area. Owner never occupied the property. CURRENTLY LEASED until 7/31/2026 for $1200 and SUCH LEASE need to be honored by the Buyer.
-
2025-07-11historical $1,400
-
2025-06-28$1,400
-
2025-04-30$93,000 Active 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Very spacious, comfortable 3 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths Townhouse, good size patio and fenced up driveway. Washer/Dryer hookups downstairs; Good size Kitchen dinning combo and very spacious living room besides a downstairs bedroom. Two bedrooms upstairs and two full baths, one of them is in the principal bedroom. Public transportation and many businesses around for convenience. Buyer should verify measurement. Public transportation and all type of businesses in the area. Owner never occupied the property. CURRENTLY LEASED until 7/31/2026 for $1200 and SUCH LEASE need to be honored by the Buyer.
-
2025-04-30$93,000 Active 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Very spacious, comfortable 3 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths Townhouse, good size patio and fenced up driveway. Washer/Dryer hookups downstairs; Good size Kitchen dinning combo and very spacious living room besides a downstairs bedroom. Two bedrooms upstairs and two full baths, one of them is in the principal bedroom. Public transportation and many businesses around for convenience. Buyer should verify measurement. Public transportation and all type of businesses in the area. Owner never occupied the property. CURRENTLY LEASED until 7/31/2026 for $1200 and SUCH LEASE need to be honored by the Buyer.
-
2024-07-24$95,000 Active
-
2022-06-22soldstatus $70,000
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $70,000 Closed
-
2022-06-01status Pending
-
2022-05-23$69,900
-
2022-05-23$69,900 Active
-
1990-02-09soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $841 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $841 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$841
- − Insurance
- −$1,238
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,595
- − Management
- −$1,595
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $7,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,722
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,047
- Household income
- $41,709
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1767.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.35%
- Current HPI
- 177.355
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.24%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+144.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $88,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $88,000 GSREIN
- 2025-07-11 Rental Removed $1,400 GSREIN
- 2025-06-28 Listed for Rent $1,400 GSREIN
- 2025-04-30 Listed $93,000 GSREIN
- 2025-04-30 Listed $93,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-07-24 Listed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-17 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GSREIN
- 2022-06-01 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-05-23 Listed $69,900 GSREIN
- 2022-05-23 Listed $69,900 AcadianaMLS
- 1990-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $841 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…