1811 Sabal Palm Dr #203 · Davie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $603 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sabal Palm Condo association; Monthly HOA fee of $603; HOA covers cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, common areas, elevator, legal/accounting, reserves, roof repairs, recreation facilities, pool service; Community amenities include pool, fitness center, clubhouse, elevators, tennis, pickleball and basketball courts, putting green, golf course access, playground, billiard room, bar/cafe/restaurant, picnic area, storage, sidewalks, street lights, maintenance, recreation facilities and trash chute; Pets allowed with number limits; Community contains 299 units
Exterior
- Parking: Open asphalt parking; 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; One-level unit; B UNIT floor plan; Faces southeast
- Construction: Stucco and CBS construction; Flat roof; Slab foundation; Building has 4 stories
- Exterior features: Public-maintained city street frontage; Asphalt road surface; Waterfront: Yes (no waterfront features listed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Concrete; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating (individual systems); Central air conditioning with humidity control (individual systems)
- Interior features: Split bedroom layout; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (8.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $229k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.4% in Davie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#68 in FL, #1,159 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities D-.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fox Trail Elementary School (math 58% / reading 69%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,130 students, 53% FRL); Indian Ridge Middle School (math 55% / reading 60%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 2,020 students, 46% FRL); Western High School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 3,566 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $250k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.03%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-52,183
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-71,538
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33324
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$603
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1811 Sabal Palm Dr Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $2,700 | $2.52 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1831 Sabal Palm Dr #202 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,600 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1831 Sabal Palm Dr Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $2,600 | $2.28 | 18d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 9480 Poinciana Pl #407 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 9480 Poinciana Pl #407 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1920 Sabal Palm Dr #104 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $2,149 | $2.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 9470 Poinciana Pl #303 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $2,050 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1931 Sabal Palm Dr #107 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,490 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 9410 Poinciana Pl #206 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9501 Seagrape Dr #305 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9531 Seagrape Dr Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,650 | $2.29 | 4d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 9531 Seagrape Dr Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,650 | $2.29 | 24d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 9531 Seagrape Dr Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $2,650 | $2.33 | 17d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 9531 Seagrape Dr Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $2,700 | $2.53 | 3d | 3 | 0.18mi |
| 9531 Seagrape Dr #202 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,700 | $2.34 | 12d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 9340 Lagoon Pl Davie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 955 | $2,200 | $2.30 | 7d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 9235 Lagoon Pl #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9235 Lagoon Pl #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9420 Poinciana Pl #409 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,890 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9430 Live Oak Pl Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,950 | $2.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9470 Live Oak Pl #306 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9230 Lagoon Pl #411 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,950 | $2.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9230 Lagoon Pl #411 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,950 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9440 Live Oak Pl #201 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,250 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9440 Poinciana Pl #404 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,220 | $2.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 9440 Poinciana Pl Davie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $2,220 | $2.25 | 24d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 9450 Live Oak Pl #305 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,900 | $1.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1526 Whitehall Dr #402 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1705 Whitehall Dr Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,450 | $1.77 | 20d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 1705 Whitehall Dr #304 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,599 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1518 Whitehall Dr #104 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,700 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 9480 Tangerine Pl #404 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,390 | $2.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 9310 SW 23rd St #4003 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,900 | $2.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1514 Whitehall Dr #206 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 9420 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,700 | $2.45 | 3d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 9420 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,700 | $2.45 | 14d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 1502 Whitehall Dr #105 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9411 Evergreen Pl #302 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 775 | $1,900 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $3,000 | $3.21 | 22d | 2 | 0.41mi |
| 9460 Tangerine Pl Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $3,000 | $3.21 | 3d | 2 | 0.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $603 · $7,236/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$259,900 Active
-
1990-05-02soldstatus $61,500
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $68,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,074 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$918/yr (+$77/mo · 79.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,156
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,425
- − Management
- −$2,425
- − HOA
- −$7,236
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$5,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,307
- After-tax cash flow
- $-114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davie
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #1159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davie, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- City population
- 92,317
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,151
- Household income
- $85,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2923.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Black 16% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.16%
- Current HPI
- 317.8685
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+279.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $259,900 Beaches MLS
- 1990-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,156 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…