111 South St · Bradford, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$64,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in this 3 Bed 1.5 bath home with generous living space. Main level features a master bedroom complete with a private half bath, an eat in kitchen, living rooms and front sitting room. The upper level has 2 bedrooms, a full bath as well as a second family room. Outside you will find a detached 2 car garage and fenced in yard.
Key facts
- Private half bath
- Eat in kitchen
- Second family room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#572 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Bradford CUSD 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #431 of 919 in IL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($442 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Stark County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.14%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,007
- List price
- $64,000
- Delta
- -3.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 1st St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-7%) | 11mo | $40,500 | $32 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $42,303
- Equity at exit
- $35,042
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.79×
- Total profit
- $103,737
- Equity at exit
- $59,488
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61421
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $64,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-13$69,000 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this 3 Bed 1.5 bath home with generous living space. Main level features a master bedroom complete with a private half bath, an eat in kitchen, living rooms and front sitting room. The upper level has 2 bedrooms, a full bath as well as a second family room. Outside you will find a detached 2 car garage and fenced in yard.
-
2008-07-08soldstatus $62,500 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Nicely updated 3 bedroom home. New in last 2 years: roof, central air, windows, wiring, floor coverings, water heater and kitchen cabinets. Choice of 3 different high schools.
-
2008-07-01soldstatus $62,500
-
2007-09-03$62,500 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Nicely updated 3 bedroom home. New in last 2 years: roof, central air, windows, wiring, floor coverings, water heater and kitchen cabinets. Choice of 3 different high schools.
-
2004-05-14soldstatus $25,000
-
2003-10-24$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,290 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,371 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$1,290
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $4,681
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradford CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1706880
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,772
- Composite
- 31.26/100
- National rank
- #11248
- State rank
- #431 of 919 in IL
Livability — Bradford
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #572
- US rank
- #12010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradford, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,330
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,233 people
- By 2030
- 4,898 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 4,130 · -21.1%
- By 2050
- 3,369 · -35.6%
- By 2075
- 2,062 · -60.6%
- By 2100
- 1,205 · -77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.6) · D 26.3% · R 71.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -45.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.6 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.68%
- Current HPI
- 130.0589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+130.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $69,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-08 Sold (MLS) $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2007-09-03 Listed $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-14 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-24 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,290 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…