87 Lake Ln · Fox Lake, IL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your ideas and make this spacious home shine again! Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large kitchen with garden window, dining room with built-ins, first-floor primary bedroom, laundry area, 3-season room, plenty of storage, and ample parking, this home has tons of potential. The property also features a garage in wonderful condition that is deep enough to accommodate a boat, making it ideal for lake-area living. Located just two lots from Pistakee Lake access, this is a great opportunity for an owner-occupant, investor, or rehab buyer. The home needs updating and TLC, but several major improvements have already been completed, including a water heater in 2022, furnace and central
Key facts
- Laundry area
- Large kitchen
- Garden window
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include water rights, street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage (detached, owned); Additional parking for up to 6 vehicles total; Gravel driveway with side apron
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers and 100 amp service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story model; Fee simple ownership; Built more than 90 years ago; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Wooded lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 45
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area, breakfast bar and island; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms total; Master bedroom on main level (carpet); Bedroom 5 on main level (19 x 13); Three bedrooms on second level (two 11 x 11, one 11 x 10) — all carpet
- Flooring: Carpet in multiple bedrooms and enclosed porch; Vinyl in dining room and kitchen; Other flooring in family room
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eight total rooms; Unfinished attic; Separate dining room; Crawl space basement; Screened enclosed porch (main level)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $315k).
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Grant Community High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #247 of 693 statewide, top 36%, 1,837 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $162k; list at $315k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.96%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $389,610
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Lake Ln | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (-4%) | 9mo | $625,000 | $393 | 77 |
| 111 Manor Ave | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,752 (+5%) | 1mo | $410,000 | $234 | 77 |
| 35 Tremont Rd | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,862 (+12%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $166 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $127,936
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $342,812
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60020
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$353 /mo · $4,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,427
- Net cashflow
- $2,805
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,983 | -5% $2,894 | +0% $2,805 | +5% $2,716 | +10% $2,626 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,268 | -5% $2,536 | +0% $2,805 | +5% $3,073 | +10% $3,342 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,963 | -0.5pp $2,885 | base $2,805 | +0.5pp $2,723 | +1.0pp $2,640 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 N Pistakee Lake Rd Unit 1374789P Fox Lake, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $6,280 | $3.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 184 E Grand Ave Unit 1374785P Fox Lake, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1593 | $7,875 | $4.94 | 6d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $315,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $315,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$315,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,238 · $353/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,694 · $475/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,456/yr (+$121/mo · 34.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,238
- − Insurance
- −$6,694
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,523
- − Management
- −$6,523
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $30,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,380
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Fox Lake
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #4462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fox Lake, IL
- City population
- 10,846
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,846
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.19%
- Current HPI
- 219.6301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+584.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $315,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-23 Sold (MLS) $162,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-19 Listed $169,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-29 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2024): $4,238 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…