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48 N Ellamont St N
C Composite 55.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

48 N Ellamont St N · Baltimore, MD 21229
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · Townhouse public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1927 1,095 sqft lot $123/sqft · 40% above area Est $86k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming, well-maintained brick rowhome offering timeless curb appeal and spacious, flexible living. A covered front porch with stone accents and lush greenery sets the tone, inviting you into a sun-filled living room with rich wood flooring, central air, and a seamless flow into the dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage, gas cooking, and direct access to the rear yard, creating an easy indoor-outdoor connection. Upstairs, you’ll find two comfortable bedrooms filled with natural light and a full bath, providing a functional and inviting layout. The finished lower level significantly expands your living

Key facts

  • Built 1927
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property in good condition; Total below-grade area 552 (unfinished); Above-grade finished area 972 (assessor source); Ownership interest: Ground Rent
  • Financial info: Ground rent $100

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Flat roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Rear fencing; Two or more access exits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom on the lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Dining area; Traditional and open floor plan; Wood floors throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $120k implies a 566% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.76%
Cash-on-cash
12.39%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,505
List price
$119,900
Delta
40.23%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
119 Hilton St 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,040 (+7%) 0mo $211,000 $203 80
23 N Morley St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,041 (+7%) 6mo $85,000 $82 71
3302 W Franklin St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-1%) 2mo $50,000 $52 71
3306 W Franklin St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-1%) 1mo $51,500 $54 67
107 N Monastery Ave 0.29mi 2/1.5 1,080 (+11%) 2mo $65,000 $60 64
133 N Monastery Ave 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+11%) 3mo $142,000 $131 62
3005 Harlem Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 912 (-6%) 3mo $50,000 $55 54
335 N Grantley St 0.45mi 2/2.0 840 (-14%) 2mo $85,000 $101 51
3039 Harlem Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,070 (+10%) 1mo $27,500 $26 48
209 Mount Holly St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+11%) 2mo $228,000 $211 47
427 Gwynn Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,116 (+15%) 5mo $152,650 $137 45
907 N Rosedale St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (+12%) 4mo $90,000 $83 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$6,338
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$49,845
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,870/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $414 -5% $381 +0% $347 +5% $313 +10% $279
Rent -10% $228 -5% $288 +0% $347 +5% $406 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $407 -0.5pp $377 base $347 +0.5pp $316 +1.0pp $284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 920 $1,550 $1.68 24d 1 0.12mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,895 $1.80 5d 1 0.39mi
3706 W Franklin St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 735 $1,100 $1.50 5d 1 0.59mi
600 Linnard St Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 44d 1 0.60mi
709 Denison St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 840 $1,630 $1.94 24d 1 0.61mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 24d 1 0.69mi
787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,575 $1.41 24d 1 0.74mi
2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.75mi
332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 776 $795 $1.02 24d 1 0.76mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1016 $2,100 $2.07 44d 1 0.80mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 845 $1,600 $1.89 44d 1 0.80mi
2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 0.81mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,000 $0.95 44d 1 0.82mi
4215 Connecticut Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 625 $950 $1.52 24d 1 0.85mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 856 $1,160 $1.36 15d 1 0.86mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 620 $1,135 $1.83 5d 1 0.86mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 620 $1,310 $2.11 44d 1 0.86mi
2 N Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 738 $1,335 $1.81 3d 5 0.86mi
3392 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 24d 1 0.92mi
62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 18d 1 0.93mi
1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 44d 1 0.93mi
4301 Parkton St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 730 $1,264 $1.73 44d 1 1.07mi
1307 Wildwood Pkwy Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 44d 1 1.17mi
4103 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,700 $1.65 44d 1 1.17mi
4520 Scarlet Oak Ln Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,500 $1.46 44d 1 1.19mi
1216 N Augusta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,550 $1.51 24d 1 1.20mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 103-H Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 798 $1,315 $1.65 24d 1 1.26mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4718-F Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 879 $1,225 $1.39 2d 1 1.26mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4714-B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 730 $1,205 $1.65 15d 1 1.26mi
1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,375 $1.60 44d 1 1.26mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4615-G Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 798 $1,200 $1.50 22d 1 1.26mi
4103 Stokes Dr Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 725 $1,095 $1.51 44d 1 1.27mi
3127 Baker St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.29mi
4431 Eldone Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $2,000 $2.23 24d 1 1.29mi
2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1072 $1,600 $1.49 24d 1 1.30mi
751 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,750 $1.71 44d 1 1.35mi
219 Atholgate Ln Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 814 $1,300 $1.60 3d 2 1.37mi
402 Colleen Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 910 $1,450 $1.59 3d 11 1.39mi
1712 W Lombard St #4 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 550 $900 $1.64 44d 1 1.44mi
627 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 892 $1,750 $1.96 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    listed $119,900 Active 1279-char remark
  15. 2026-05-08
    historical
  16. 2026-04-03
    listed $129,900 Active
  17. 2026-04-03
    historical
  18. 2025-09-19
    price $130,000
  19. 2025-08-14
    listed $140,000 Active
  20. 2025-08-12
    historical
  21. 2003-11-17
    soldstatus $18,000
  22. 2003-08-25
    historical
  23. 2003-01-31
    listed $18,000
  24. 1987-10-28
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,870 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,870 · $156/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,942
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,870
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$575
After-tax cash flow
$3,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+336.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-12 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-11-17 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MRIS
  • 2003-08-25 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-01-31 Listed $18,000 MRIS
  • 1987-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,870 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…