2033 Highland Ave · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect starter home with a warm and inviting feel! This charming southside home offers a spacious living area that’s perfect for entertaining, featuring original hardwood floors, recessed lighting, and plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen is both functional and stylish with granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and easy access to the separate dining area—ideal for family dinners and gatherings. The primary suite is generously sized with boxed ceilings, recessed lighting, abundant windows, and ample closet space. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or extra living space. Step outside to enjoy the large backyard, complete with a patio a
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Recessed lighting
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Subdivision: Anderson Add; County: Taylor
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no garage or covered/carport spaces listed)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Built in 1951; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Few trees on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite countertops; Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Electric range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Travertine stone
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric heating/AC; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Pantry; One living area; One dining area; 7 total rooms; One-level layout
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alcorta El (math 35% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,396 of 4,322 statewide, top 56%, 451 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+32.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 S 20th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+0%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $138 | 93 |
| 1701 S 21st St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-4%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $144 | 76 |
| 2701 S 27th St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-0%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 1733 Palm St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (-4%) | 0mo | $159,900 | $116 | 65 |
| 2641 Raintree Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $170 | 63 |
| 2526 Edgemont Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $135 | 62 |
| 1749 S 21 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,269 (-12%) | 1mo | $219,500 | $173 | 62 |
| 2057 Barrow St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,374 (-5%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $124 | 60 |
| 2209 Poplar St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (-8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $109 | 50 |
| 1974 Woodard St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,308 (-9%) | 3mo | $69,900 | $53 | 47 |
| 2926 S 23rd St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+12%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $117 | 45 |
| 2925 S 27th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (-12%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $95 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $7,187
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $92,529
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79605
- Rents YoY
- 32.1%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $503 | -5% $451 | +0% $399 | +5% $346 | +10% $294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $311 | +0% $399 | +5% $486 | +10% $573 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $446 | base $399 | +0.5pp $351 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1934 Portland Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1349 Meander St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1532 | $3,800 | $2.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2601 Edgemont Dr Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,495 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3173 Hunt St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 801 S 17th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3250 College St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 889 Ross Ave Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1223 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3373 S 27th St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 725 Peach St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $3,500 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2701 S 40th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 619 Poplar St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,695 | $1.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-15status $185,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $185,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$185,000 Active
-
2025-09-13status Active
-
2025-06-24status Pending
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2025-02-13status Pending
-
2025-02-13status Option Pending
-
2024-09-27status Pending
-
2024-08-19status Active
-
2024-07-23status Pending
-
2024-06-24$111,513 Active
-
2024-05-31historical
-
2024-01-15price $155,000
-
2023-10-04$160,000 Active
-
2020-02-10soldstatus
-
2020-02-07soldstatus Sold
-
2020-01-13status Pending
-
2020-01-03historical Active Option Contract
-
2019-12-23$119,000 Active
-
2015-12-23soldstatus
-
2015-12-22soldstatus Sold
-
2015-11-25status Pending
-
2015-11-14historical Active Option Contract
-
2015-08-27price $102,500
-
2015-07-16$112,500 Active
-
2010-06-08soldstatus
-
2010-06-04soldstatus
-
2010-04-26historical
-
2010-03-16$110,000
-
2006-08-18soldstatus
-
2006-08-16soldstatus
-
2006-08-06historical
-
2006-07-26$78,000
-
2006-06-14soldstatus
-
2006-06-12soldstatus
-
2006-06-01$36,500
-
2006-06-01historical
-
2000-05-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,645 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,645 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$3,645
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,126
- − Management
- −$2,126
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $2,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$482
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,467
- Household income
- $62,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1096.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.75%
- Current HPI
- 201.2341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 32.08%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+406.8% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-13 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-06-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-02-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-02-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-09-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-08-19 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2024-07-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-06-24 Listed $111,513 HARMLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-01-15 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2023-10-04 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
- 2020-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-02-07 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-01-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-01-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2019-12-23 Listed $119,000 NTREIS
- 2015-12-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-12-22 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2015-11-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2015-11-14 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-08-27 Price Changed $102,500 NTREIS
- 2015-07-16 Listed $112,500 NTREIS
- 2010-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-06-04 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2010-04-26 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2010-03-16 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2006-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-08-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2006-08-06 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2006-07-26 Listed $78,000 NTREIS
- 2006-06-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-06-12 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2006-06-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2006-06-01 Listed $36,500 NTREIS
- 2000-05-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,645 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…