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10166 Beach Dr SW Unit 5304
D Composite 41.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

10166 Beach Dr SW Unit 5304 · Calabash, NC 28467
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 860 sqft · Condo public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1984 $347/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3rd floor 2 BR/2 Ba condo. Tenant occupied till July 31, 2021.

Key facts

  • Swimming pool
  • Easy access to shops
  • Prime location

Tags

PRIVATE SCREENED-IN PORCHSWIMMING POOLPRIME LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO SHOPSEASY ACCESS TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential; Subdivision: Carolina Shores Resort
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($4,164 / $347 monthly equivalent); Community pool; Street lighting

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site paved parking lot; Lighted parking
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Three or more levels; Entry on level 3
  • Construction: Wood siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built with three total stories
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Paved road access; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-129/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (1.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Calabash — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#487 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jessie Mae Monroe Elementary (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 394 students, 99% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $160k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Recommended offer $155,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-26,463
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-23,317
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28467

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Active inventory
691
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $685/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$347
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,658
Max offer price $158,096
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10174 Beach Dr SW #206 Calabash, NC 1.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 23d 1 0.10mi
660 Aubrey Ln Calabash, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1081 $2,870 $2.65 14d 69 0.32mi
1420 Sherman Dr Calabash, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $345 $0.34 14d 3 0.87mi
1035 Brightwater Way Calabash, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1327 $1,862 $1.40 23d 1 0.91mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$347 · $4,164/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $160,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $168,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $168,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $168,000 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $168,000 Active
  18. 2021-09-20
    soldstatus $82,500 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Affordable 3rd floor 2 BR/2 Ba condo. Tenant occupied till July 31, 2021.

  19. 2021-08-06
    soldstatus $148,000
  20. 2021-06-17
    listed $120,000 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    Affordable 3rd floor 2 BR/2 Ba condo. Tenant occupied till July 31, 2021.

  21. 2005-11-08
    soldstatus $85,000 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    3 Rd Floor Condo In Very Good Condition, Furnishedclose To Shopping, Seafood Restaurants, Beaches, Andmyrtle Beach Entertainment. Best Kept Secretin Calabash!!!!!

  22. 2005-11-08
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    3 Rd Floor Condo In Very Good Condition, Furnishedclose To Shopping, Seafood Restaurants, Beaches, Andmyrtle Beach Entertainment. Best Kept Secretin Calabash!!!!!

  23. 2005-09-08
    listed $85,000 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    3 Rd Floor Condo In Very Good Condition, Furnishedclose To Shopping, Seafood Restaurants, Beaches, Andmyrtle Beach Entertainment. Best Kept Secretin Calabash!!!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$685 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$627/yr (+$52/mo · 91.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,732
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$685
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,579
− Management
−$1,579
− HOA
−$4,164
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$2,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$517/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Calabash

Score
61/100
State rank
#487
US rank
#17866

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calabash, NC
County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
13,313
Household income
$75,341
Rent vs Own
10.4% rent · 89.6% own
Severe rent burden
81.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.90%
Current HPI
133.7186
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $168,000 Hive MLS
  • 2021-09-20 Sold (MLS) $82,500 Hive MLS
  • 2021-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-17 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
  • 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-08 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Hive MLS
  • 2005-09-08 Listed $85,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $685 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…