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4296 Century Rd
D Composite 40.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$210,000

4296 Century Rd · Greenwood, FL 32443
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,560 sqft · Manufactured public records · 167 Days on market
Built 2016 1.00 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4296 Century Rd in the highly sought after area of Greenwood, FL! This beautiful 2,560 sq ft, 4-bedroom 2-bath home is situated on a one-acre parcel of land giving you the perfect amount of space to feel right at home. This highly coveted open floorplan boasts two spacious living areas combined with a kitchen and dining room providing you with a more comfortable lifestyle and ample space to relax and unwind. The master suite boasts an enormous 10x14 retreat and private bathroom with a separate shower and an oversized tub. The property features a well-maintained outdoor area, ideal for barbecues and family events. Upgrades include a 2022 roof and 2021 HVAC. Do not miss this opport

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Open floorplan
  • Separate shower

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANTWO SPACIOUS LIVING AREASKITCHEN AND DINING ROOMMASTER SUITEPRIVATE BATHROOMSEPARATE SHOWER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Single-story (first-floor living)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Privacy fencing; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on the first floor (including primary bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open porch
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (30.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#625 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Grand Ridge School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 326 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $199 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,747 (30.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-17,974
Equity at exit
$54,784
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,534
Equity at exit
$61,094

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32443

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,457 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $664/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575
Max offer price $193,625
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $26 -5% $-33 +0% $-93 +5% $-152 +10% $-212
Rent -10% $-208 -5% $-150 +0% $-93 +5% $-35 +10% $22
Rate -1.0pp $13 -0.5pp $-39 base $-93 +0.5pp $-147 +1.0pp $-202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 149 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 148 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 147 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  16. 2026-05-31
    listed $210,000 Active 146 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$664 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,079/yr (+$90/mo · 162.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,490
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$664
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,399
− Management
−$1,399
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$4,895
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,175
After-tax cash flow
$62/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson
NCES district ID
1200960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,824
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3358
State rank
#39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenwood

Score
66/100
State rank
#625
US rank
#12176

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,739

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,095 people
By 2030
44,432 · -3.6%
By 2040
41,077 · -10.9%
By 2050
37,587 · -18.5%
By 2075
28,921 · -37.3%
By 2100
19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
174.7486
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $210,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $218,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $228,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $228,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Listed $235,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2024-05-16 Price Changed $248,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-04-09 Listed $258,000 CPARMLS

Property tax history

+17.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $664 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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