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306 16th St S
C- Composite 53.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

306 16th St S · Benson, MN 56215
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
Built 1910 7,000 sqft lot $102/sqft · 32% below area Est $251k · 32% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remodeled, Refreshed and Ready for you to move right in! This Charming Turn of the Century home is a must see with it's 9 foot ceilings throughout the home. Updated Stainless steel appliances, furnace and electrical. Fresh paint, new lighting and fixtures bring a modern look to the home that awaits you to add your pop of color. For those looking for main floor living - there is a large bedroom and a full bath and laundry all located on the main level. Both the upper and main level bathrooms have been updated with new toilets and vanities as well as lighting. The front and back porch have been replaced with treated lumber for years of relaxing in the quiet neighborhood. Call today to see this gem for yourself- pictures do not do justice to this charmer!!

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • Updated bathrooms
  • Main floor living

Tags

REMODELEDUPDATED BATHROOMSREPLACED FRONT AND BACK PORCHMAIN FLOOR LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#189 in MN, #4,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Benson Public School District (town): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #228 of 301 in MN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Swift County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Swift County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $148,641 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.36%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$250,800
List price
$169,900
Delta
-32.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-19,109
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,960
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56215

Home prices YoY
-18.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,486 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $952/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,318
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $169,900 Pending 83 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Contingent - Inspection 83 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Contingent - Inspection 82 DOM
  4. 2026-05-14
    price $169,900 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Remodeled, Refreshed and Ready for you to move right in! This Charming Turn of the Century home is a must see with it's 9 foot ceilings throughout the home. Updated Stainless steel appliances, furnace and electrical. Fresh paint, new lighting and fixtures bring a modern look to the home that awaits you to add your pop of color. For those looking for main floor living - there is a large bedroom and a full bath and laundry all located on the main level. Both the upper and main level bathrooms have been updated with new toilets and vanities as well as lighting. The front and back porch have been replaced with treated lumber for years of relaxing in the quiet neighborhood. Call today to see this gem for yourself- pictures do not do justice to this charmer!!

  5. 2026-04-30
    status Active 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Remodeled, Refreshed and Ready for you to move right in! This Charming Turn of the Century home is a must see with it's 9 foot ceilings throughout the home. Updated Stainless steel appliances, furnace and electrical. Fresh paint, new lighting and fixtures bring a modern look to the home that awaits you to add your pop of color. For those looking for main floor living - there is a large bedroom and a full bath and laundry all located on the main level. Both the upper and main level bathrooms have been updated with new toilets and vanities as well as lighting. The front and back porch have been replaced with treated lumber for years of relaxing in the quiet neighborhood. Call today to see this gem for yourself- pictures do not do justice to this charmer!!

  6. 2026-04-27
    historical 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Remodeled, Refreshed and Ready for you to move right in! This Charming Turn of the Century home is a must see with it's 9 foot ceilings throughout the home. Updated Stainless steel appliances, furnace and electrical. Fresh paint, new lighting and fixtures bring a modern look to the home that awaits you to add your pop of color. For those looking for main floor living - there is a large bedroom and a full bath and laundry all located on the main level. Both the upper and main level bathrooms have been updated with new toilets and vanities as well as lighting. The front and back porch have been replaced with treated lumber for years of relaxing in the quiet neighborhood. Call today to see this gem for yourself- pictures do not do justice to this charmer!!

  7. 2026-03-06
    listed $175,500 Active 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Remodeled, Refreshed and Ready for you to move right in! This Charming Turn of the Century home is a must see with it's 9 foot ceilings throughout the home. Updated Stainless steel appliances, furnace and electrical. Fresh paint, new lighting and fixtures bring a modern look to the home that awaits you to add your pop of color. For those looking for main floor living - there is a large bedroom and a full bath and laundry all located on the main level. Both the upper and main level bathrooms have been updated with new toilets and vanities as well as lighting. The front and back porch have been replaced with treated lumber for years of relaxing in the quiet neighborhood. Call today to see this gem for yourself- pictures do not do justice to this charmer!!

  8. 2026-03-05
    historical
  9. 2026-02-20
    listed $178,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$952 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,427 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$475/yr (+$40/mo · 49.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,837
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$952
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,427
− Management
−$1,427
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$1,278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$307
After-tax cash flow
$1,905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benson Public School District
NCES district ID
2704470
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$49,024
Composite
33.56/100
National rank
#5423
State rank
#228 of 301 in MN

Livability — Benson

Score
75/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#4068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benson, MN
Population (ZIP)
4,701

Population outlook (Swift County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,635 people
By 2030
8,257 · -4.4%
By 2040
7,528 · -12.8%
By 2050
6,891 · -20.2%
By 2075
5,879 · -31.9%
By 2100
5,045 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 28% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Swift

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-47.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: -34.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.2 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+25.8 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.08%
Current HPI
214.9157
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $175,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $178,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $952 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…