1841 Tryon Dr #5 · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 74.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated 2BR/2BA Briarcliff condo—Gated entrance, fresh paint, new carpet & flooring, covered patio, new bathroom vanities, new front door, storage unit, and prime location near shopping, dining & highways. Move-in ready!
Key facts
- $171 HOA
- Built 1986
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $171 monthly fee; Gated community / subdivision: BRIARCLIFF
Exterior
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium (residential)
- Construction: Wood siding; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Forced air; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet(s); Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($825/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); E E Smith High (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,004 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.10%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-10,881
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,292
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28303
- Home prices YoY
- -25.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$171
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $102 | +0% $69 | +5% $36 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-21 | -5% $24 | +0% $69 | +5% $114 | +10% $158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $117 | -0.5pp $93 | base $69 | +0.5pp $44 | +1.0pp $19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1849 Tryon Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $998 | $0.94 | 24d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 4420 Blanton Rd Unit 4420-H Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,025 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1861 Tryon Dr Unit 3 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $995 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1909 Tryon Dr #7 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1882 Tryon Dr #4 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,100 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1808 Tryon Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $995 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 710 Villagio Pl Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $1,686 | $1.71 | 15d | 9 | 0.43mi |
| 1615 Morehead Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 117 N Helen St Unit 117 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 844 Anita Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5109 Higgins St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1914 King George Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 215 Andy St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5112 Cannon St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $949 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4916 Schmidt St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $945 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 908 William Clark Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 209 Gertrude St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 211 Gertrude St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1156 Acorn St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2110 Rogers Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 421 Squirrel St Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $900 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4943 Fieldcrest Dr Unit B Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $799 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1014 Enclave Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,512 | $1.36 | 15d | 19 | 1.25mi |
| 4959 Fieldcrest Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $725 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4981 Galveston Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1000a Elm St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 675 | $1,403 | $2.08 | 15d | 23 | 1.33mi |
| 622 Dashland Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $835 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 622 Dashland Dr Unit B Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $940 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 301 Barcelona Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,326 | $1.57 | 15d | 58 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $171 · $2,052/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-03-26$95,000 Active
-
2025-08-16status Active
-
2025-08-16price $95,000
-
2025-06-05status Active
-
2025-05-05status Pending
-
2025-04-26status Active
-
2025-04-09status Pending
-
2025-03-15status Active
-
2025-03-15status Pending
-
2025-01-14$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,089
- − Management
- −$1,089
- − HOA
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$601
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This 2BR/2BA Briarcliff condo is move-in ready with fresh paint, new carpet, and a covered patio. However, it could benefit from exterior painting, updated kitchen appliances, and modern bathroom fixtures to further enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Visible weathering
- Minor interior paint — Some discoloration
- Moderate kitchen appliances — Older models
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — Simple, dated design
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom aesthetics and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Visible weathering | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen appliances · Older models | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Simple, dated design | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $7,000–36,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality ↑
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom aesthetics and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,965
- Household income
- $58,223
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1370.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Black 37% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.14%
- Current HPI
- 226.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.01%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $95,000 LPRMLS
- 2025-08-16 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-08-16 Price Changed $95,000 LPRMLS
- 2025-06-05 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-05-05 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-04-26 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-04-09 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-03-15 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-03-15 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $100,000 LPRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…