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315 S 13th St
B- Composite 65.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.4/10.0

$80,000

315 S 13th St · Slaton, TX 79364
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 212 Days on market
Built 1941 7,000 sqft lot ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great 2/1 home in Slaton with updates throughout including new carpet, vinyl plank, paint, countertops, and appliances. This home also offer a huge, fenced backyard and an attached carport. Schedule your showing today! Currently leased until January 2027 at $900 per month.

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Fenced backyard
  • 7,000 sq ft lot

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDATTACHED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#366 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Slaton ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #683 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.23%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$3,978
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$25,341
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79364

Home prices YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $288 +0% $266 +5% $243 +10% $220
Rent -10% $183 -5% $224 +0% $266 +5% $307 +10% $349
Rate -1.0pp $306 -0.5pp $286 base $266 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
525 W Scurry St Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,250 $0.94 21d 1 0.08mi
835 S 11th St Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 0.25mi
950 S 10th St Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1104 $899 $0.81 14d 1 0.39mi
230 E Panhandle St Slaton, TX 3.0 1.0 864 $725 $0.84 14d 1 0.53mi
930 W Hale St Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $800 $0.66 44d 1 0.63mi
220 N 6th St Slaton, TX 3.0 1.0 926 $900 $0.97 14d 1 0.65mi
1510 S 9th St Slaton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 662 $620 $0.94 14d 4 0.74mi
420 S 2nd St Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,075 $0.90 14d 1 0.86mi
8902 E County Road 7700 Slaton, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,250 $0.91 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 207 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 204 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 202 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2025-11-17
    listed $80,000 Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Great 2/1 home in Slaton with updates throughout including new carpet, vinyl plank, paint, countertops, and appliances. This home also offer a huge, fenced backyard and an attached carport. Schedule your showing today! Currently leased until January 2027 at $900 per month.

  17. 2024-12-14
    historical $900
  18. 2024-11-02
    listed $900
  19. 2024-09-19
    soldstatus
  20. 2024-04-28
    historical $950
  21. 2024-04-16
    listed $950
  22. 2022-10-12
    price $110,000
  23. 2022-09-01
    price $89,000
  24. 2022-08-30
    price $99,000
  25. 2022-07-06
    price $105,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$133/yr (+$11/mo · 10.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,599
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$490
After-tax cash flow
$2,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Slaton ISD
NCES district ID
4840440
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,870
Composite
23.15/100
National rank
#7950
State rank
#683 of 826 in TX

Livability — Slaton

Score
70/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#7796

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Slaton, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,135

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.15%
Current HPI
250.89
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $80,000 LARMLS
  • 2024-12-14 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-11-02 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-04-28 Rental Removed $950 LARMLS
  • 2024-04-16 Listed for Rent $950 LARMLS
  • 2022-10-12 Price Changed $110,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-09-01 Price Changed $89,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-08-30 Price Changed $99,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Price Changed $105,000 LARMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,331 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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