503 Mitchell Ave · Big Stone City, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Duplex located in Big Stone City. It has a main level 2 BR 1 BA apartment as well as an upstairs 2BR 1BA apartment. It has a huge 36x50 garage. Main level is currently occupied and they are on a month by month basis and the upstairs is emply. They also recieve rent for part of the garage. Call to schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Big Stone City School District 25-1 (rural): math 70% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 148 in SD (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
- Grant County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.30%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $59,860
- Equity at exit
- $53,713
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.75×
- Total profit
- $149,286
- Equity at exit
- $101,108
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57216
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,351 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $576 | -5% $549 | +0% $522 | +5% $494 | +10% $467 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $415 | -5% $468 | +0% $522 | +5% $575 | +10% $628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $561 | -0.5pp $542 | base $522 | +0.5pp $501 | +1.0pp $480 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-01status $79,000 Pending 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $79,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Duplex located in Big Stone City. It has a main level 2 BR 1 BA apartment as well as an upstairs 2BR 1BA apartment. It has a huge 36x50 garage. Main level is currently occupied and they are on a month by month basis and the upstairs is emply. They also recieve rent for part of the garage. Call to schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-06$89,000 Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Duplex located in Big Stone City. It has a main level 2 BR 1 BA apartment as well as an upstairs 2BR 1BA apartment. It has a huge 36x50 garage. Main level is currently occupied and they are on a month by month basis and the upstairs is emply. They also recieve rent for part of the garage. Call to schedule your showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,217
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,297
- − Management
- −$1,297
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,319
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,276
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Stone City School District 25-1
- NCES district ID
- 4606960
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,515
- Composite
- 56.69/100
- National rank
- #2421
- State rank
- #13 of 148 in SD
Livability — Big Stone City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6436
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Stone City, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,389
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,713 people
- By 2030
- 6,458 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 5,990 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 5,667 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 5,925 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 7,228 · +7.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.4) · D 26.1% · R 71.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.4 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+15.0 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.80%
- Current HPI
- 125.444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
-11.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,000 NESD
- 2026-04-06 Listed $89,000 NESD
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…