Triplex
523 E 148th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,367,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Fantastic Investment Opportunity in Mott Haven! Snap up this strong income-producing 3-unit property in the heart of vibrant Mott Haven—surrounded by shops, restaurants, and rapid development. This impressive 3,606 sq. ft. Triplex -multifamily offers a flexible mix of spacious 2-3 & 3 bedroom units, 2 bedrooms featuring 2 bathrooms, the 3 bedrooms including an ensuite, and separate utilities for added convenience and reduced owner expenses. A full, walk-out basement provides additional living or storage potential and opens to a large private backyard, perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating your own zen retreat. A commuter’s dream, the property is ideally located n
Key facts
- 3 unit property
- Commuters dream
- Walk out basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Off-site parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Video cameras
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Townhouse; Triplex
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Private roof; Back yard with fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Open kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Chandelier; Eat-in kitchen; Open kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Finished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.37M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($69k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.37M).
- Recommended offer: $1.35M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $383k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.35M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $649k; list at $1.37M implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.15%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $814,956
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 763 Jackson Ave | 0.53mi | 10/4.0 (+1) | 4,113 (+14%) | 11mo | $930,000 | $226 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $467,352
- Equity at exit
- $549,369
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $1,231,747
- Equity at exit
- $799,001
Cash invested: $382,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10455
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 19.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $17,824 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,169
- Tax from tax record
- −$554 /mo · $6,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$570
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,743
- Net cashflow
- $5,722
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 2.7 | $17,823 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.7 | $5,941 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.7 | $5,941 |
| #3 | 3 | 2.7 | $5,941 |
| Total (3 units) | $17,824 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $341,750
- Closing costs
- $41,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,367,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,367,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,367,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,367,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,367,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,367,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,367,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,367,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,367,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-06-02$1,367,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,648 · $554/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,875 · $1,240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,227/yr (+$686/mo · 123.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $213,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$76,573
- − Property taxes
- −$6,648
- − Insurance
- −$7,633
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,111
- − Management
- −$17,111
- − Depreciation
- −$39,767
- Taxable income
- $49,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,771
- After-tax cash flow
- $56,896/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,940
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Black 24% Two or more races 17% White 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 27% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 60% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.14%
- Current HPI
- 145.3911
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+110.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $1,367,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $1,367,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listed $1,388,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $649,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,648 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…