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1510 Easton Ave
D+ Composite 46.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,000

1510 Easton Ave · Bethlehem, PA 18017
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,524 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1920 6,000 sqft lot Est $325k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Terrific 4 Br Single home in North Bethlehem with many updates. Home features a large eat in kitchen, modern bathroom, an oversized fenced city lot with off-street parking, large living room with hardwood floors, covered front porch, gas heat, and much more. This home is conveniently located near restaurants, bars, schools, and major transportation routes. This home is a definite MUST SEE!!!!

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking on a parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Slate roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Porch; Yard fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 9x9, 11x9, 13x11, 13x11)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the second floor (approx. 9x6)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with radiators
  • Interior features: Dining area and separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($-2/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (0.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $248k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $289k implies a 285% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $247,642 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.00%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$324,612
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1510 Easton Ave 0.00mi 4/1.0 1,524 (0%) 1mo $289,000 $190 99
1415 Maple St 0.10mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,640 (+8%) 8mo $350,000 $213 70
1608 Millard St 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 1mo $430,000 $320 68
1738 Madison Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (+6%) 7mo $339,900 $210 58
2012 Kemmerer St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,551 (+2%) 3mo $325,000 $210 56
2109 Kemmerer St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,466 (-4%) 2mo $370,000 $252 53
1433 Chelsea Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,645 (+8%) 6mo $349,900 $213 50
1918 Montgomery St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,652 (+8%) 1mo $361,500 $219 48
439 E Union Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-14%) 7mo $314,537 $240 40
128 E Spruce St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,728 (+13%) 5mo $285,000 $165 37
1936 Kemmerer St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,312 (-14%) 6mo $280,000 $213 37
1022 Hilton St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,733 (+14%) 2mo $310,000 $179 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-47,823
Equity at exit
$43,091
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-45,651
Equity at exit
$24,987

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18017

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,847/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$-0

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,477
Max offer price $288,965
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
409 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.5 1650 $2,645 $1.60 2d 1 0.20mi
1214 Maple St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1462 $2,000 $1.37 43d 1 0.22mi
754 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 43d 1 0.34mi
1138 Arcadia St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1802 $2,095 $1.16 43d 1 0.46mi
537 Goepp Cir Unit B Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1225 $1,895 $1.55 43d 1 0.46mi
830 Media St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1128 $2,100 $1.86 23d 1 0.48mi
830 Media St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1128 $2,100 $1.86 43d 1 0.48mi
822 Elm St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1406 $2,195 $1.56 14d 1 0.52mi
1320 Chelsea Ave Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.0 1373 $2,395 $1.74 2d 1 0.53mi
1320 Chelsea Ave Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.0 1373 $2,349 $1.71 14d 1 0.53mi
802 Elm St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.5 1520 $2,800 $1.84 21d 1 0.55mi
316 E Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1460 $2,145 $1.47 43d 1 0.59mi
129 E Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.0 1648 $2,600 $1.58 2d 1 0.59mi
1136 N New St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1296 $2,300 $1.77 2d 1 0.61mi
122 E Goepp St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1137 $1,895 $1.67 2d 1 0.62mi
69 E Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 2d 1 0.65mi
47 W Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1184 $1,995 $1.68 2d 1 0.84mi
68 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.5 1804 $2,295 $1.27 14d 1 0.90mi
1240 Pembroke Rd #1 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1249 $1,795 $1.44 43d 1 0.92mi
2234 Easton Ave Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1254 $2,395 $1.91 2d 1 0.93mi
417 Linden St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1699 $2,450 $1.44 2d 1 0.98mi
239 E Church St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1724 $2,950 $1.71 23d 1 1.01mi
1057 Decatur St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1773 $2,650 $1.49 44d 1 1.03mi
87 W Broad St Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA 5.0 1.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 14d 1 1.06mi
42 E Wall St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.0 1474 $2,550 $1.73 23d 1 1.07mi
1416 Livingston St Bethlehem, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,554 $2.55 2d 20 1.25mi
520 W Union Blvd Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 2225 $2,150 $0.97 23d 1 1.33mi
314 State St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1654 $2,650 $1.60 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $289,000 Active
  3. 2012-09-07
    historical
  4. 2012-05-21
    listed $139,900
  5. 2011-09-07
    historical
  6. 2011-03-14
    listed $148,000
  7. 1987-11-01
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,847 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,207 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$359/yr (+$30/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,717
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$3,847
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,377
− Management
−$2,377
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$4,926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,182
After-tax cash flow
$1,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethlehem Area SD
NCES district ID
4203570
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,124
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5068
State rank
#342 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bethlehem

Score
82/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#1122

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bethlehem, PA
County
Northampton County · 236,814 people
City population
129,661
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
40,640
Household income
$91,173
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
950.0

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.92%
Current HPI
203.0358
Rent YoY
▲ 2.60%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $289,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2012-09-07 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2012-05-21 Listed $139,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2011-09-07 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2011-03-14 Listed $148,000 GLVRMLS
  • 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,847 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…