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86 S Center St
C+ Composite 64.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$130,000

86 S Center St · Potts Camp, MS 38659
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 257 Days on market
Built 2003 0.30 ac lot $95/sqft · 6% below area Est $139k · 6% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2003

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#213 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #87 of 130 in MS (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.42%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,541
List price
$130,000
Delta
-6.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
86 S Center St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,372 (0%) 0mo $130,000 $95 96
92 S Center St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,372 (0%) 13mo $137,000 $100 83
38 Elm St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,357 (-1%) 12mo $145,000 $107 78

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$72,138
Equity at exit
$103,314
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
6.46×
Total profit
$198,919
Equity at exit
$209,576

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38659

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,148/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $299 -5% $262 +0% $225 +5% $188 +10% $151
Rent -10% $119 -5% $172 +0% $225 +5% $278 +10% $331
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $258 base $225 +0.5pp $191 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  2. 2026-03-03
    status Active 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  3. 2026-03-03
    price $130,000 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  4. 2026-03-02
    historical 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  5. 2026-01-13
    price $139,000 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  6. 2025-11-23
    price $144,900 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  7. 2025-11-19
    price $149,900 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  8. 2025-11-06
    price $155,000 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  9. 2025-09-02
    listed $160,000 Active 232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home in small country town with its own local schools. Home has central heat and air, attached carport and is ready for the first time buyer to move in or for an investor to put on rental market. Come take a look!

  10. 2024-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,049
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,148
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$149
After-tax cash flow
$2,551/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County School District
NCES district ID
2802850
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,333
Composite
18.11/100
National rank
#8970
State rank
#87 of 130 in MS

Livability — Potts Camp

Score
60/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#18819

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Potts Camp, MS
Population (ZIP)
2,117

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,542 people
By 2030
31,983 · -4.6%
By 2040
28,556 · -14.9%
By 2050
25,352 · -24.4%
By 2075
20,032 · -40.3%
By 2100
16,738 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Cuban 5%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.3) · D 46.0% · R 53.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.5pp toward R · 2008: 18.2pp · 2024: -7.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.3 2020: D+3.1 2016: D+9.7 2012: D+19.4 2008: D+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.51%
Current HPI
218.406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $139,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $144,900 MLSU
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $155,000 MLSU
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $160,000 MLSU
  • 2024-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,148 · -35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…