838 Georgia Ave · Hagerstown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Small, Cozy Single Family Home located in Hagerstown's West End. 1 bedroom, 1 bath, kichen with stove and Refrigerator, Dining area and living room. Driveway and Fenced rear yard. Covered Front porch with Swing. Home is Being Offer separately or with 840 Georgia Ave. Together Asking Price is $305,000 25 hour notice to show. No exceptions please
Key facts
- 6,525 sq ft lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water; Above-grade and below-grade structures present
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (one full on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric hot water; Cooling listed as Other
- Interior features: Basement with dirt floor and walkout stairs; Living area reported by assessor; Accessibility features present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($744/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ruth Ann Monroe Primary (567 students, 80% FRL); Western Heights Middle (math 6% / reading 30%, grade F, #165 of 225 statewide, top 75%, 903 students, 77% FRL); South Hagerstown High (math 30% / reading 63%, grade D-, #118 of 222 statewide, top 54%, 1,487 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $115k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.31%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,860
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443 W Church St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 540 (0%) | 23mo | $86,000 | $159 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-13,681
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,625
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21740
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $95 | +0% $62 | +5% $29 | +10% $-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $22 | +0% $62 | +5% $102 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $91 | base $62 | +0.5pp $32 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 W Church St Unit 1W 1W Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,140 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 503 W Church St Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $990 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 819 Washington Ave Unit 2E Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 409 George St Apt B Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 229 Jonathan St Unit 202 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 66 W Church St Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 202 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,335 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 312 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,400 | $1.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 64 W Antietam St Unit 3 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $825 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 64 W Antietam St Unit 8 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $795 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 64 W Antietam St Apt 7 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $825 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 825 Hamilton Blvd Unit B Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 38 E Franklin St Unit 3 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $800 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 38 E Franklin St Unit 4 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 203 S Prospect St Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | — | 1.0 | 500 | $725 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 165 Summit Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 44 E Franklin St Unit 3W Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1401 Haven Rd Hagerstown, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 925 | $1,539 | $1.66 | 15d | 11 | 1.05mi |
| 327 N Mulberry St Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,030 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 220 Summit Ave Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $895 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 220 Summit Ave Apt 2F Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 207 N Mulberry St Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,180 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 162 S Potomac St Unit 3 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 37 E Baltimore St Unit 2FAAPT A Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 300 Northern Ave Unit 8B Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 300 Northern Ave Unit 3H Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 231 N Cleveland Ave Unit 5 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1334 Potomac Ave Unit PLC-1330-04 Hagerstown, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 460 | $1,100 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $115,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 484-char remark
-
2026-06-17$115,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,127 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$127/yr (+$11/mo · 12.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,000
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,201
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$288
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,033/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hagerstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #3170
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hagerstown, MD
- County
- Washington County · 98,861 people
- City population
- 64,792
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,792
- Household income
- $62,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2832.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.38%
- Current HPI
- 264.8018
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+45.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-11 Listed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,000 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…