CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
574 Lost Valley Dr
C- Composite 50.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

574 Lost Valley Dr · Pea Ridge, WV 25705
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1998 0.30 ac lot Est $151k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home! Appliance filled kitchen, new stainless refrigerator, home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, nice deck with above ground (salt water)pool, one car garage. This home is move in ready-washer, dryer, and generator remains. This won't last long!

Key facts

  • Nice deck
  • Above ground pool
  • Move in ready

Tags

APPLIANCE FILLED KITCHENNICE DECKABOVE GROUND POOLMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential ranch; Composition shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Outdoor pool; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Electric forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Storage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#9 in WV, #1,254 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Altizer Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 202 students, 0% FRL); Huntington East Middle School (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #81 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 585 students, 0% FRL); Huntington High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #31 of 110 statewide, top 28%, 1,704 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,500 (0.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.30%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,984
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3 Lost Valley Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 14mo $160,000 $154 61
435 Spring Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+13%) 16mo $171,000 $162 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-13,086
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,143
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25705

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,635 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $919/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,363
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6275 Country Club Dr Huntington, WV 1.0–2.0 1.0 817 $1,635 $2.00 44d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 256-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $165,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$919 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$974 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$54/yr (+$5/mo · 5.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,620
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$919
− Insurance
−$1,622
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$25
After-tax cash flow
$2,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cabell County Schools
NCES district ID
5400180
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,426
Composite
30.26/100
National rank
#6285
State rank
#13 of 55 in WV

Livability — Pea Ridge

Score
82/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#1254

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,668

Population outlook (Cabell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,574 people
By 2030
98,060 · +0.5%
By 2040
98,817 · +1.3%
By 2050
100,185 · +2.7%
By 2075
105,895 · +8.5%
By 2100
105,948 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cabell

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.0% · R 59.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.08%
Current HPI
171.7797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $165,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $919 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…