574 Lost Valley Dr · Pea Ridge, WV
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home! Appliance filled kitchen, new stainless refrigerator, home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, nice deck with above ground (salt water)pool, one car garage. This home is move in ready-washer, dryer, and generator remains. This won't last long!
Key facts
- Nice deck
- Above ground pool
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential ranch; Composition shingle roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Outdoor pool; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Electric forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#9 in WV, #1,254 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Altizer Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 202 students, 0% FRL); Huntington East Middle School (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #81 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 585 students, 0% FRL); Huntington High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #31 of 110 statewide, top 28%, 1,704 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.30%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,984
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Lost Valley Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+12%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $154 | 61 |
| 435 Spring Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+13%) | 16mo | $171,000 | $162 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-13,086
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,143
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25705
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,635 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $919/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6275 Country Club Dr Huntington, WV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,635 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 256-char remark
-
2026-06-12$165,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $919 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $974 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$54/yr (+$5/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$919
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,570
- − Management
- −$1,570
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$104
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cabell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400180
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,426
- Composite
- 30.26/100
- National rank
- #6285
- State rank
- #13 of 55 in WV
Livability — Pea Ridge
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #1254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,668
Population outlook (Cabell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,574 people
- By 2030
- 98,060 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 98,817 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 100,185 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 105,895 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 105,948 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cabell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.0% · R 59.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.08%
- Current HPI
- 171.7797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $165,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $919 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…