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115 N Forty Rd
C- Composite 51.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

115 N Forty Rd · Our Town, AL 35010
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · Manufactured public records · 151 Days on market
Built 2000 0.45 ac lot ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 115 North Forty Road in Alexander City! This well-maintained home offers comfortable living in a convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and Lake Martin amenities. Featuring spacious living areas, a functional layout, and plenty of natural light, this property is perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Enjoy the peaceful setting while still being just minutes from town. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment opportunity, this home is a must-see. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Mobile home
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Fenced lot; On waterfront (Lake Martin); Wooded lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Wood, tile and laminate flooring; 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#392 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Alexander City (town): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #77 of 129 in AL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Tallapoosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tallapoosa County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.13%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,066
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$10,686
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35010

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $503/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $949
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 134 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 133 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 132 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 131 DOM
  17. 2026-03-14
    price $125,000
  18. 2026-01-19
    listed $135,000 Active
  19. 2025-09-18
    price $145,000
  20. 2025-04-22
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$503 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$512 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,544
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$503
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$108
After-tax cash flow
$2,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alexander City
NCES district ID
0100030
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,482
Composite
23.49/100
National rank
#7871
State rank
#77 of 129 in AL

Livability — Our Town

Score
57/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#22095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Our Town, AL
Population (ZIP)
19,619

Population outlook (Tallapoosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,909 people
By 2030
37,413 · -3.8%
By 2040
33,935 · -12.8%
By 2050
30,467 · -21.7%
By 2075
22,716 · -41.6%
By 2100
15,167 · -61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tallapoosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.9% · R 74.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -49.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.88%
Current HPI
170.2791
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $125,000 LMMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $135,000 LMMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $145,000 LMMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Listed $150,000 LMMLS

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $503 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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