115 N Forty Rd · Our Town, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 115 North Forty Road in Alexander City! This well-maintained home offers comfortable living in a convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and Lake Martin amenities. Featuring spacious living areas, a functional layout, and plenty of natural light, this property is perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Enjoy the peaceful setting while still being just minutes from town. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment opportunity, this home is a must-see. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2000
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Mobile home
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Fenced lot; On waterfront (Lake Martin); Wooded lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile flooring; Laminate flooring
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Wood, tile and laminate flooring; 9 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#392 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Alexander City (town): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #77 of 129 in AL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Tallapoosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tallapoosa County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.13%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,066
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,686
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35010
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $503/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $125,000
-
2026-01-19$135,000 Active
-
2025-09-18price $145,000
-
2025-04-22$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$503
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $450
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alexander City
- NCES district ID
- 0100030
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,482
- Composite
- 23.49/100
- National rank
- #7871
- State rank
- #77 of 129 in AL
Livability — Our Town
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #22095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Our Town, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,619
Population outlook (Tallapoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,909 people
- By 2030
- 37,413 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 33,935 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 30,467 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 22,716 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 15,167 · -61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tallapoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.9% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -49.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.88%
- Current HPI
- 170.2791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $125,000 LMMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $135,000 LMMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $145,000 LMMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $150,000 LMMLS
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $503 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…