35220 Dodie Dr #13 · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in a desirable 55+ Community in Zephyrhills, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with the added benefit of you own the land - no lot rent. The spacious Florida room provides additional living space & entertaining space, while the bonus room offers flexibility as a home office, hobby room or guest bedroom. The Master bedroom has built-in drawers and closets to store your clothes. The kitchen features a glass-top electric range and microwave with a hood for everyday convenience. Outside, the l0'x 26' carport provides ample covered parking and space for outdoor entertaining and the 11'x 8' shed includes a washer and dryer plus extra storage/workshop spac
Key facts
- Built-in drawers
- Florida room
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease/rental restrictions apply
- Financial info: Total annual association fees approximately $1,560
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $130; Association requires approval and fees are required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, sauna, spa/hot tub, tennis, pickleball and shuffleboard courts, recreation facilities, park, sidewalks, gated access, laundry facilities, and vehicle restrictions; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, insurance, private road maintenance, recreational facilities and trash; Senior community; Pets allowed with limits (dogs and cats; size limit ~20 lbs; number limit)
Exterior
- Parking: Private paved access road
- Security: Gated community (association amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces north; Entry on ground level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane, metal, and shingle roofing (roof over); Crawl space foundation; Built on a small lot (roughly 0.07 acre; lot dimensions approx. 65' x 43' x 65' x 45')
- Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Rain gutters; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Reverse cycle heating; Central air conditioning; Attic fan
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Vaulted ceiling; Aluminum-framed windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.23%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35246 Tiffani Lot 63 Ct | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 687 (+1%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $172 | 84 |
| 35204 Ada Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 710 (+4%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $113 | 83 |
| 35238 Dodie Dr #09 | 0.03mi | 1/2.0 | 726 (+7%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $109 | 82 |
| 35220 Condominium Blvd #25 | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 621 (-9%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $145 | 77 |
| 35142 Zephyr Shores Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 720 (+6%) | 12mo | $83,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 35012 Dale Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 732 (+8%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $130 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $20,018
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $46,885
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,425
- − Management
- −$1,425
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 18 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen, bathroom, flooring, and interior walls/paint, but is otherwise in good condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major flooring — dated and worn
- Major interior walls/paint — dated and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space
- Resale new flooring — modernizes the space
- Resale new interior walls/paint — modernizes the space
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new flooring — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new interior walls/paint — modernizes the space ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…