35220 Dodie Dr #13 · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.3
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Located in a desirable 55+ Community in Zephyrhills, this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with the added benefit of you own the land - no lot rent. The spacious Florida room provides additional living space & entertaining space, while the bonus room offers flexibility as a home office, hobby room or guest bedroom. The Master bedroom has built-in drawers and closets to store your clothes. The kitchen features a glass-top electric range and microwave with a hood for everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Built-in drawers
- Florida room
- Bonus room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.0% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Raymond B. Stewart Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 988 students, 77% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 1141 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.95%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,000
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -28.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35246 Tiffani Lot 63 Ct | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 687 (+1%) | 7mo | $118,000 | $172 | 83 |
| 35204 Ada Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 710 (+4%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $113 | 82 |
| 35238 Dodie Dr #09 | 0.03mi | 1/2.0 | 726 (+7%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $109 | 80 |
| 4612 Clarice Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+3%) | 0mo | $106,000 | $151 | 76 |
| 35220 Condominium Blvd #25 | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 621 (-9%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $145 | 75 |
| 4742 Stuey Dr Lot 305 | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 744 (+9%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 35127 Danny Dr | 0.20mi | 1/2.0 | 629 (-8%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 35142 Zephyr Shores Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 720 (+6%) | 14mo | $83,000 | $115 | 65 |
| 4845 Baker Ave | 0.18mi | 1/2.0 | 768 (+13%) | 3mo | $98,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 35012 Dale Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 732 (+8%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $130 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,127
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $9,103
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.6 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $99,000 ($146/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 176 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -1.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 1141
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,086 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$130
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $268 | +0% $244 | +5% $220 | +10% $196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $158 | -5% $201 | +0% $244 | +5% $287 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $262 | base $244 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lease/rental restrictions apply
- Financial info
- Total annual association fees approximately $1,560
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA fee of $130Association requires approval and fees are requiredAssociation amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, sauna, spa/hot tub, tennis, pickleball and shuffleboard courts, recreation facilities, park, sidewalks, gated access, laundry facilities, and vehicle restrictionsAssociation fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, insurance, private road maintenance, recreational facilities and trashSenior communityPets allowed with limits (dogs and cats; size limit ~20 lbs; number limit)
Exterior
- Parking
- Private paved access road
- Security
- Gated community (association amenity)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedWater connectedSewer connectedCable availableBroadband/high-speed internet availableUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Manufactured home (single wide)One storyFaces northEntry on ground level
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingMembrane, metal, and shingle roofing (roof over)Crawl space foundationBuilt on a small lot (roughly 0.07 acre; lot dimensions approx. 65' x 43' x 65' x 45')
- Exterior features
- Hurricane shuttersRain guttersShed
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetLinoleum
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Reverse cycle heatingCentral air conditioningAttic fan
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansThermostatVaulted ceilingAluminum-framed windows
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry located outside
HOA detail $130/mo · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $70,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $70,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $70,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $70,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $70,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $70,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $70,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $70,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $70,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $70,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $70,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $70,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $70,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $70,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $70,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $70,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $70,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $70,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $70,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $70,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,043
- − Management
- −$1,043
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,030
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$487
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 18 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen, bathroom, flooring, and interior walls/paint, but is otherwise in good condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major flooring — dated and worn
- Major interior walls/paint — dated and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new flooring — modernizes the space ↑
- Resale new interior walls/paint — modernizes the space ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 48,266
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…