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304 E Ellis St Duplex
B Composite 71.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

304 E Ellis St · East Syracuse, NY 13057
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This newly updated and remodeled, well maintained 2 Family property features 3 bedrooms, and 1 full bath in each unit. Separate utilities for each unit. There are 2 water heaters, 2 boilers, and 2 electrical panels.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Newer flooring
  • Eat-in kitchens

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMESEPARATE UTILITIESAMPLE OFF STREET PARKINGNEWER FLOORINGFRONT AND BACK PORCHESEAT-IN KITCHENS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned for residential 2-unit; Lot is rectangular, near public transit (approximately 50 x 90)
  • Financial info: Operating expenses include professional management, rent collection, and water/sewer; Owner pays grounds care and water; Rent may include common area maintenance, gardening, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential 2-unit; 2-story building; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Flat membrane (rubber) roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Open porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2-unit property (multi-family)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $728/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 6.9% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
  • East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,099/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 250% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $225,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
14.05%
Cash-on-cash
27.72%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$56,418
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$169,283
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13057

Home prices YoY
-11.1%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$509 /mo · $6,113/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$861
Net cashflow
$1,455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,257
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,582 -5% $1,519 +0% $1,455 +5% $1,391 +10% $1,328
Rent -10% $1,131 -5% $1,293 +0% $1,455 +5% $1,617 +10% $1,779
Rate -1.0pp $1,568 -0.5pp $1,512 base $1,455 +0.5pp $1,397 +1.0pp $1,337

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,099

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    remarks 298-char remark
  3. 2026-06-03
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,113 · $509/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,113 · $509/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,188
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$6,113
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,935
− Management
−$3,935
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$14,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,583
After-tax cash flow
$13,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
NCES district ID
3609990
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$55,801
Composite
42.9/100
National rank
#3122
State rank
#379 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Syracuse

Score
90/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#81

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
14,253
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,253
Household income
$80,900
Rent vs Own
24.0% rent · 76.0% own
Severe rent burden
250.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.50%
Current HPI
316.8595
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1400.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $225,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-04-24 Sold (MLS) $210,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-01-24 Pending CNYIS
  • 2024-01-13 Listed $199,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $190,500 Public Records
  • 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $190,500 CNYIS
  • 2023-09-22 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-09-15 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
  • 2008-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
  • 2001-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,113 · +29.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…