2930 Hillside Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A diamond in the rough in the heart of the city! 3 bedrooms 1 bath single family home in need of lots of repairs. Home is being sold "as is"
Key facts
- Dedicated sunroom
- Vaulted ceiling
- Shaker cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,459/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2340% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $135k implies a 649% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,837
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2933 Caroline Ave | 0.03mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,272 (-4%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $79 | 80 |
| 2745 Caroline Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-4%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $153 | 79 |
| 2520 Hillside Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,306 (-2%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $134 | 75 |
| 2920 Schofield Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,516 (+14%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $53 | 62 |
| 3263 Schofield Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-10%) | 2mo | $73,600 | $62 | 60 |
| 2738 Schofield Ave | 0.39mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,205 (-9%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 3135 Ralston Ave | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-10%) | 1mo | $177,500 | $148 | 55 |
| 3214 N Tacoma Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+12%) | 2mo | $194,900 | $131 | 54 |
| 2842 Sangster Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+14%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $148 | 53 |
| 3353 Nicholas Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+8%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $49 | 51 |
| 3338 Ralston Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (+11%) | 4mo | $114,000 | $78 | 49 |
| 2358 Hovey St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-13%) | 3mo | $151,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-10,484
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,737
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,459 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $266 | +0% $228 | +5% $190 | +10% $151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $112 | -5% $170 | +0% $228 | +5% $285 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $296 | -0.5pp $262 | base $228 | +0.5pp $193 | +1.0pp $157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2820 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3121 Baltimore Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $7,865 | $6.38 | 8d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2616 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3207 N Arsenal Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2372 Beckwith Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 779 | $1,206 | $1.55 | 2d | 32 | 0.62mi |
| 3448 Hillside Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2906 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $950 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3132 Dr Andrew J Brown Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $2,120 | $2.68 | 2d | 46 | 0.69mi |
| 2757 Columbia Ave Unit 2757-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2830 Lasalle St Unit 28 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1902 E 35th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2553 Columbia Ave Unit 2553-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3532 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1177 | $2,299 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2549 Columbia Ave Unit 1332865P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $2,274 | $2.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2827 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,512 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3139 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,345 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2950 Winthrop Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,449 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3208 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $1,700 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3110 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3203 Sutherland Ave Unit 1310761P Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $3,668 | $3.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2410 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3449 E 26th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,512 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2340 Columbia Ave Unit 2340-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3451 E 26th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2203 Sheldon St Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2751 Guilford Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2751 Guilford Ave Unit Aunit Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2711 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2341 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,199 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2343 E Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,199 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2529 Guilford Ave Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3741 N Tacoma Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $2,200 | $2.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2221 E 38th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $999 | $0.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2826 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1313 E 22nd St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,750 | $2.08 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3476 Birchwood Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,625 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $134,900
-
2026-03-17$139,900 Active
-
2018-08-03soldstatus $18,000
-
2018-07-31soldstatus $18,000 Sold 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
A diamond in the rough in the heart of the city! 3 bedrooms 1 bath single family home in need of lots of repairs. Home is being sold "as is"
-
2018-07-14status Pending 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
A diamond in the rough in the heart of the city! 3 bedrooms 1 bath single family home in need of lots of repairs. Home is being sold "as is"
-
2018-06-20$21,000 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
A diamond in the rough in the heart of the city! 3 bedrooms 1 bath single family home in need of lots of repairs. Home is being sold "as is"
-
2016-06-12historical
-
2015-12-15$35,000 Active
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $15,000 Sold
-
2015-05-01status Pending
-
2015-04-02$18,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,935 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,935 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,401
- − Management
- −$1,401
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $617
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+649.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $134,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-31 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-14 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-20 Listed $21,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-12 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-15 Listed $35,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-01 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-02 Listed $18,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,935 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…