11408 Windmill Rd · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$166,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This one hits differently because it is not trying to be perfect. This HUD home needs someone who gets it. Sold AS-IS, this 3bd, 2ba plus a study doesn't need to try hard. It has over 2400 sq ft of living space, built-ins in the living room and study, separate dining and breakfast nook, Putnam City Schools district, and large closets. The spacious primary bedroom features a large walk-in closet plus a second closet and double vanity in the primary bathroom. If you're looking for a home that gives you options—whether that’s spreading out, gathering, or making it your own, this one is worth a look. This is the kind of home that even if it may not check every box at first glance&md
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Separate dining
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $166k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Putnam City (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #227 of 270 in OK (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Will Rogers Es (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 365 students, 0% FRL); Putnam City North Hs (math 18% / reading 29%, grade F, #218 of 447 statewide, top 49%, 1,579 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $102k; list at $166k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.14%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,623
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11408 Windmill Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,463 (+2%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $68 | 96 |
| 11608 Kings Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 2,341 (-3%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $88 | 85 |
| 8317 NW 113th St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 2,259 (-6%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $119 | 82 |
| 8400 NW 111th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,308 (-4%) | 2mo | $274,000 | $119 | 76 |
| 8037 Willow Creek Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,194 (-9%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 8600 NW 111th St | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 2,500 (+3%) | 1mo | $438,000 | $175 | 69 |
| 11920 Skyway Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,476 (+2%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $117 | 68 |
| 8808 NW 114th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 2,408 (-0%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $127 | 68 |
| 8617 NW 113th Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,286 (-5%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 8516 NW 111th St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,139 (-12%) | 3mo | $327,500 | $153 | 54 |
| 8316 NW 106th St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,597 (+7%) | 1mo | $299,999 | $116 | 54 |
| 8720 NW 109th Ter | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,184 (-10%) | 2mo | $369,900 | $169 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $909
- Equity at exit
- $24,751
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $52,562
- Equity at exit
- $14,353
Cash invested: $46,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73162
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$871
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,500
- Closing costs
- $4,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8301 NW 112th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,625 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 11629 Kings Cir Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2082 | $1,950 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8312 NW 112th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2284 | $1,700 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8609 NW 113th Ct Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 12216 Sylvester Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2052 | $1,845 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 12213 Sylvester Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2441 | $2,050 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12213 Sylvester Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2441 | $2,050 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12100 Blueway Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2496 | $2,099 | $0.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8521 NW 121st St Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2417 | $1,999 | $0.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8816 NW 114th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8821 NW 120th St Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2880 | $2,025 | $0.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9113 NW 121st St Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,986 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7420 NW 126th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12829 High Plains Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2006 | $2,195 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12721 Cortona Ter Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,095 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 12836 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2065 | $2,070 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 12812 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2065 | $2,070 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 12709 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1903 | $2,210 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7020 Talbot Canyon Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1914 | $1,350 | $0.71 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-14$166,000 Active
-
1986-09-01soldstatus $101,666
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $88,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,725 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,725 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,299
- − Property taxes
- −$2,725
- − Insurance
- −$830
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,869
- − Management
- −$1,869
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$4,829
- Taxable income
- $1,736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam City
- NCES district ID
- 4025290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,657
- Composite
- 12.61/100
- National rank
- #9614
- State rank
- #227 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,728
- Household income
- $88,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.35%
- Current HPI
- 205.6639
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+88.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-14 Listed $166,000 MLSOK
- 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $101,666 Public Records
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,725 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…