1441 Paso Real Ave #321 · Rowland Heights, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Double Wide Mobil Home Built in 1974, 1344 square feet with 3 bedrooms. 2 bath, The long carport can park 3 cars. Ready to move in. Agent: Please view the Agent's remarks for more valuable info
Key facts
- 3,500 sq ft lot
- Community pool
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.7% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,070/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 367 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $152k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 367 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.29%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,045
- List price
- $199,990
- Delta
- 16.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #246 | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $146 | 75 |
| 1441 S Paso Real Ave #27 | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $135 | 75 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #259 | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $147 | 71 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #195 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-9%) | 12mo | $208,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #203 | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,493 (+11%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $154 | 70 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #271 | 0.17mi | 5/4.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $238,000 | $165 | 67 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #87 | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #268 | 0.08mi | 5/4.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 14mo | $218,000 | $151 | 65 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #186 | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-10%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $182 | 61 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #269 | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $133 | 54 |
| 1441 Paso Real Ave #3 | 0.08mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 1,511 (+12%) | 19mo | $215,000 | $142 | 47 |
| 1560 Otterbein Ave #20 | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $203 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $105,937
- Equity at exit
- $29,819
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.09×
- Total profit
- $340,763
- Equity at exit
- $17,291
Cash invested: $55,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91748
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$855
- Net cashflow
- $1,833
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,972 | -5% $1,903 | +0% $1,833 | +5% $1,764 | +10% $1,695 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,512 | -5% $1,673 | +0% $1,833 | +5% $1,994 | +10% $2,155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,934 | -0.5pp $1,884 | base $1,833 | +0.5pp $1,782 | +1.0pp $1,729 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,998
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 Paso Real Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $3,500 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1808 Santa Ysabela Dr Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,500 | $2.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 18417 Santar St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $3,300 | $2.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1316 Raleo Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $5,000 | $4.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 19319 Pilario St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $3,750 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 18448 La Guardia St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $6,900 | $4.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 19358 Alcona St Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $3,950 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19530 Springport Dr Rowland Heights, CA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,499 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1862 Hollandale Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $4,250 | $2.68 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4037 S Ellesford Ave West Covina, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $4,195 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19307 Oakview Ln Rowland Heights, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $3,850 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-18days on market $199,990 Active 367 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 258-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $199,990 Active 366 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,990 Active 365 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,990 Active 364 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,990 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 244-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $199,990 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,990 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,990 Active 357 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,990 Active 356 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $199,990 Active 353 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,990 Active 352 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,990 Active 351 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,990 Active 350 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,990 Active 349 DOM
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2026-05-08price $199,990 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Double Wide Mobil Home Built in 1974, 1344 square feet with 3 bedrooms. 2 bath, The long carport can park 3 cars. Ready to move in. Agent: Please view the Agent's remarks for more valuable info
-
2026-04-25price $208,000 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Double Wide Mobil Home Built in 1974, 1344 square feet with 3 bedrooms. 2 bath, The long carport can park 3 cars. Ready to move in. Agent: Please view the Agent's remarks for more valuable info
-
2025-06-25price $220,000 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Double Wide Mobil Home Built in 1974, 1344 square feet with 3 bedrooms. 2 bath, The long carport can park 3 cars. Ready to move in. Agent: Please view the Agent's remarks for more valuable info
-
2025-06-16$238,000 Active 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Double Wide Mobil Home Built in 1974, 1344 square feet with 3 bedrooms. 2 bath, The long carport can park 3 cars. Ready to move in. Agent: Please view the Agent's remarks for more valuable info
-
2022-11-29soldstatus $152,000 Closed Sale 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
* * * Beautiful, well maintained home with move in condition * * * Very bright, clean, airy, open and spacious floor plan with lots of windows and natural light passing through. Quality custom curtains throughout the house. Individual laundry. Good sized great room, formal dining area with built in cabinets. Cozy master bedroom with mirrored wardrobe. Lovely kitchen with breakfast bar, lots of cabinets built in, entertaining is a very lovely place to sit in the kitchen area. Huge porch. Easy maintenance private side yard. Perfect location in front of community pool and guest parking. Nice Park has a clubhouse with free WiFi. Walking distance to markets, schools, bus lines, post office and shops etc. Easy access to Highways 60, 57 and 605.
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2022-10-14status Pending Sale 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
* * * Beautiful, well maintained home with move in condition * * * Very bright, clean, airy, open and spacious floor plan with lots of windows and natural light passing through. Quality custom curtains throughout the house. Individual laundry. Good sized great room, formal dining area with built in cabinets. Cozy master bedroom with mirrored wardrobe. Lovely kitchen with breakfast bar, lots of cabinets built in, entertaining is a very lovely place to sit in the kitchen area. Huge porch. Easy maintenance private side yard. Perfect location in front of community pool and guest parking. Nice Park has a clubhouse with free WiFi. Walking distance to markets, schools, bus lines, post office and shops etc. Easy access to Highways 60, 57 and 605.
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2022-09-29$159,900 Active 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
* * * Beautiful, well maintained home with move in condition * * * Very bright, clean, airy, open and spacious floor plan with lots of windows and natural light passing through. Quality custom curtains throughout the house. Individual laundry. Good sized great room, formal dining area with built in cabinets. Cozy master bedroom with mirrored wardrobe. Lovely kitchen with breakfast bar, lots of cabinets built in, entertaining is a very lovely place to sit in the kitchen area. Huge porch. Easy maintenance private side yard. Perfect location in front of community pool and guest parking. Nice Park has a clubhouse with free WiFi. Walking distance to markets, schools, bus lines, post office and shops etc. Easy access to Highways 60, 57 and 605.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,907
- − Management
- −$3,907
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $20,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, paint interior walls, replace worn flooring, repair/replace windows, and service the HVAC system. These updates will significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major bathroom flooring — dated and worn
- Major kitchen appliances — dated and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and flooring — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace worn flooring — new flooring will improve interior aesthetics and functionality
- Both repair/replace windows — new windows will improve energy efficiency and curb appeal
- Both service HVAC system — a functioning HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom flooring · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and flooring — modernizing bathrooms will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace worn flooring — new flooring will improve interior aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both repair/replace windows — new windows will improve energy efficiency and curb appeal ↑
- Both service HVAC system — a functioning HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633750
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,667
- Composite
- 44.83/100
- National rank
- #2733
- State rank
- #134 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rowland Heights
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1123
- US rank
- #25637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rowland Heights, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 42,463
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,463
- Household income
- $83,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Asian (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 59% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 6% White 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Chinese 37% Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -754.24%
- Current HPI
- 364.5923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.27%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+25.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $199,990 CRMLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $208,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $220,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-16 Listed $238,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $152,000 CRMLS
- 2022-10-14 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-09-29 Listed $159,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…