504 S 5th St · McComb, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a spacious fixer upper that needs some TLC. The back floors have some water damage and maybe weak in some areas, so please be careful and watch your step.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as a fixer; Lot dimensions approximately 67 x 140 (corner lot)
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided; Community features: curbs, sidewalks, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered carport space; Driveway and on-street parking; Direct access parking
- Security: Dead bolt locks
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition; Residence structure
- Construction: Vinyl and metal siding; Composition roof; Block and pier foundation; Built date sourced from assessor
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot; Curbs, sidewalks and street lights in the neighborhood
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall cooling units (no central air)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Dead bolt locks; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in kitchen; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 6.4% in McComb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.16%
- DSCR
- 3.19
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,769
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -54.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,432 (-5%) | 0mo | $81,500 | $57 | 81 |
| 622 S Sixth St | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,513 (-0%) | 11mo | $74,000 | $49 | 74 |
| 319 S 4th St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-6%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $84 | 70 |
| 407 7th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (-13%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $38 | 67 |
| 109 11th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,427 (-6%) | 4mo | $98,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 707 Earl St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (-15%) | 2mo | $59,500 | $46 | 58 |
| 411 New York Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-10%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $69 | 52 |
| 1120 Delaware Ave | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 | 1,467 (-3%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 612 W New York Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+13%) | 1mo | $54,600 | $32 | 47 |
| 205 Butler St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-6%) | 11mo | $147,500 | $103 | 45 |
| 218 Westview Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-9%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $102 | 43 |
| 308 Burke Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+10%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $90 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $22,737
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 52.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.15×
- Total profit
- $57,545
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39648
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,004 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,317/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $480 | -5% $469 | +0% $458 | +5% $446 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $378 | -5% $418 | +0% $458 | +5% $497 | +10% $537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $478 | -0.5pp $468 | base $458 | +0.5pp $447 | +1.0pp $437 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238 Westview Cir McComb, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $1,300 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 919 25th St McComb, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1107 | $595 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1240 Parklane Rd McComb, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $999 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$45,000 Active 165-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,317
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$964
- − Management
- −$964
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,210
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mccomb School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802880
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,855
- Composite
- 12.26/100
- National rank
- #9645
- State rank
- #106 of 130 in MS
Livability — McComb
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #8347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McComb, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,767
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,766 people
- By 2030
- 37,874 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 35,743 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 33,276 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 26,799 · -30.9%
- By 2100
- 18,562 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.61%
- Current HPI
- 92.2495
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-11.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $39,900 MLSU
- 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,317 · +128.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…