70 Deepdale Dr · South Huntington, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$599,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
70 Deepdale Drive is bright, charming and full of potential. The classic Cape Cod layout, 2 beds and a bath on the main level, 2 beds and a bath upstairs. But this cape is suited for multi-generational living. More roomy, the dormered upstairs level offers options: currently the second floor is configured with 2 bedrooms, a living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. The buyer may elect to redesign/remodel and turn the upstairs living room and kitchen into a large 5th bedroom and add an ensuite bath. Suburban splendor, picturesque property; the large backyard is private, with room for a pool and more. South Huntington is a welcoming and diverse neighborhood, offering great schools and services. Such a convenient location, endless shopping, dining, parks, playgrounds, beaches, and more. And it's a fantastic spot for commuters, with quick access to the parkways and the railroad station 10 mins away. The full unfinished basement has a Bilco door entry/exit to the backyard. The property taxes are being grieved. Yes, there is natural gas line in the road if the buyer wants to convert from oil fuel. A solid house to plant roots and grow dreams.
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 18 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $599k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($627/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $479k (20.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $479k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in South Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#171 in NY, #2,673 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- South Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #290 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($165k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($590k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.37%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $767,842
- List price
- $599,000
- Delta
- -21.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Pioneer Blvd | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 1mo | $725,000 | $453 | 79 |
| 20 Leeds St | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 1,548 (-1%) | 10mo | $742,000 | $479 | 79 |
| 178 Melville Rd | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-4%) | 6mo | $711,000 | $474 | 76 |
| 26 Bowden Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,750 (+12%) | 0mo | $730,000 | $417 | 72 |
| 39 Teed St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,735 (+11%) | 1mo | $525,000 | $303 | 70 |
| 7 Bartel Pl | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 1mo | $805,000 | $503 | 64 |
| 10 Peachtree Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 1mo | $780,000 | $488 | 56 |
| 133 Wolf Hill Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,393 (-11%) | 4mo | $650,000 | $467 | 52 |
| 16 Capitol Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,358 (-13%) | 10mo | $700,000 | $515 | 49 |
| 7 Meriden Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,756 (+12%) | 4mo | $779,000 | $444 | 41 |
| 129 Wolf Hill Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-13%) | 11mo | $740,000 | $544 | 36 |
| 20 Nursery Rd | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 | 1,730 (+11%) | 12mo | $695,000 | $402 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-86,372
- Equity at exit
- $89,313
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-39,719
- Equity at exit
- $51,791
Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11746
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 308
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,792 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,141
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,006
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,750
- Closing costs
- $17,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21A Thorney Ave Huntington Station, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $4,500 | $2.98 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 23 Craig Dr Huntington Station, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $5,000 | $2.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
70 Deepdale Drive is bright, charming and full of potential. The classic Cape Cod layout, 2 beds and a bath on the main level, 2 beds and a bath upstairs. But this cape is suited for multi-generational living. More roomy, the dormered upstairs level offers options: currently the second floor is configured with 2 bedrooms, a living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. The buyer may elect to redesign/remodel and turn the upstairs living room and kitchen into a large 5th bedroom and add an ensuite bath. Suburban splendor, picturesque property; the large backyard is private, with room for a pool and more. South Huntington is a welcoming and diverse neighborhood, offering great schools and services. Such a convenient location, endless shopping, dining, parks, playgrounds, beaches, and more. And it's a fantastic spot for commuters, with quick access to the parkways and the railroad station 10 mins away. The full unfinished basement has a Bilco door entry/exit to the backyard. The property taxes are being grieved. Yes, there is natural gas line in the road if the buyer wants to convert from oil fuel. A solid house to plant roots and grow dreams.
-
2026-04-16$599,000 Active 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
70 Deepdale Drive is bright, charming and full of potential. The classic Cape Cod layout, 2 beds and a bath on the main level, 2 beds and a bath upstairs. But this cape is suited for multi-generational living. More roomy, the dormered upstairs level offers options: currently the second floor is configured with 2 bedrooms, a living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. The buyer may elect to redesign/remodel and turn the upstairs living room and kitchen into a large 5th bedroom and add an ensuite bath. Suburban splendor, picturesque property; the large backyard is private, with room for a pool and more. South Huntington is a welcoming and diverse neighborhood, offering great schools and services. Such a convenient location, endless shopping, dining, parks, playgrounds, beaches, and more. And it's a fantastic spot for commuters, with quick access to the parkways and the railroad station 10 mins away. The full unfinished basement has a Bilco door entry/exit to the backyard. The property taxes are being grieved. Yes, there is natural gas line in the road if the buyer wants to convert from oil fuel. A solid house to plant roots and grow dreams.
-
2026-04-11historical $599,000 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
70 Deepdale Drive is bright, charming and full of potential. The classic Cape Cod layout, 2 beds and a bath on the main level, 2 beds and a bath upstairs. But this cape is suited for multi-generational living. More roomy, the dormered upstairs level offers options: currently the second floor is configured with 2 bedrooms, a living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a full bath. The buyer may elect to redesign/remodel and turn the upstairs living room and kitchen into a large 5th bedroom and add an ensuite bath. Suburban splendor, picturesque property; the large backyard is private, with room for a pool and more. South Huntington is a welcoming and diverse neighborhood, offering great schools and services. Such a convenient location, endless shopping, dining, parks, playgrounds, beaches, and more. And it's a fantastic spot for commuters, with quick access to the parkways and the railroad station 10 mins away. The full unfinished basement has a Bilco door entry/exit to the backyard. The property taxes are being grieved. Yes, there is natural gas line in the road if the buyer wants to convert from oil fuel. A solid house to plant roots and grow dreams.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,112 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,118 · $593/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,005/yr (+$250/mo · 73.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,506
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,553
- − Property taxes
- −$4,112
- − Insurance
- −$2,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,600
- − Management
- −$4,600
- − Depreciation
- −$17,425
- Taxable loss
- −$9,781
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,348
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Huntington Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627300
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,630
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2189
- State rank
- #290 of 590 in NY
Livability — South Huntington
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #2673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Huntington, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- City population
- 65,747
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,747
- Household income
- $164,589
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 627.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -715.60%
- Current HPI
- 317.5657
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Coming Soon $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…