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9 Nordland Ave
B+ Composite 77.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

9 Nordland Ave · Portland, CT 06416
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1948 0.53 ac lot Est $269k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special - Cash Sale Only Opportunity awaits at this property located on a quiet cul-de-sac in Cromwell, near the Connecticut River. This single-family home is in distressed condition and is being offered primarily for land value. Ideal for investors, builders, or flippers looking for their next project. The property is being sold strictly as-is, where-is. Seller will make no repairs, improvements, or concessions. The home will not qualify for conventional financing; cash purchase only. Buyer to perform all due diligence. Property may have structural, mechanical, or environmental issues. Utilities condition is unknown and may not be operational. Located in a desirable area with prox

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Land value
  • 0.53 acre lot

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACNEAR THE CONNECTICUT RIVERLAND VALUEPOTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage for two cars
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Gable roof; Red exterior color
  • Exterior features: Lightly wooded lot on a cul-de-sac; Shingle and clapboard siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired)
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; One fireplace; Full, unfinished basement with concrete floor and hatchway access; Attic with hatch access
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Oil-fired hot water heating (fuel tank located in basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.7% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#57 in CT, #3,527 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Cromwell School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #63 of 153 in CT (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.89%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$269,100
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Wightman Pl 0.19mi 2/1.0 912 (+1%) 23mo $261,000 $286 69
4 Carroll Pl 0.44mi 2/1.0 876 (-3%) 24mo $180,000 $205 55
27 West St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,032 (+15%) 0mo $317,500 $308 52
25 Nooks Hill Rd 0.44mi 2/1.0 785 (-13%) 14mo $235,000 $299 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$9,012
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$51,083
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06416

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,152 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,955/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,492
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $606 -5% $564 +0% $521 +5% $479 +10% $436
Rent -10% $351 -5% $436 +0% $521 +5% $606 +10% $691
Rate -1.0pp $597 -0.5pp $559 base $521 +0.5pp $482 +1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
548 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,752 $1.74 2d 1 1.34mi
548 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,752 $1.74 24d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $150,000 Under Contract 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-02
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,955 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,955 · $330/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,822
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,955
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,066
− Management
−$2,066
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$4,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,013
After-tax cash flow
$5,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cromwell School District
NCES district ID
0900990
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$80,252
Composite
49.39/100
National rank
#2013
State rank
#63 of 153 in CT

Livability — Portland

Score
76/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#3527

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Middlesex County · 63,941 people
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
14,334
Household income
$110,596
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
188.0

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.38%
Current HPI
259.9702
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $150,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,955 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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