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236 Hawthorn Park Cir
D Composite 42.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.2/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.5/10.0

$425,000

236 Hawthorn Park Cir · Yulee, FL 32097
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,019 sqft · SingleFamily · 101 Days on market
Built 2024 Est $434k · at est. $100/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Large center island
  • Upstairs loft

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSWHITE CABINETRYBUILT-IN WHIRLPOOL APPLIANCESLARGE CENTER ISLANDUPSTAIRS LOFT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $100 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage (detached/attached not specified)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Zoned R

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Window features: see remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-779 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (32.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $287k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 3.3% in Yulee — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $287,463 (32.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.09%
Cash-on-cash
-7.85%
DSCR
0.65
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$434,085
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
545 Stillwater Ln 0.06mi 4/3.0 2,038 (+1%) 9mo $397,000 $195 88
556 Stillwater Ln 0.07mi 4/3.0 2,038 (+1%) 9mo $396,690 $195 88
540 Stillwater Ln 0.05mi 4/3.0 2,038 (+1%) 10mo $397,490 $195 88
561 Stillwater Ln 0.07mi 4/3.0 2,038 (+1%) 9mo $396,190 $194 87
572 Stillwater Ln 0.08mi 4/3.0 2,038 (+1%) 10mo $400,000 $196 86
292 Hawthorn Pk Cir 0.06mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,139 (+6%) 8mo $498,000 $233 76
553 Stillwater Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,820 (-10%) 8mo $390,990 $215 67
564 Stillwater Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,820 (-10%) 10mo $385,000 $212 65
314 Continuum Loop 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,183 (+8%) 4mo $738,316 $338 46
241 Coveted Pl 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,179 (+8%) 7mo $725,000 $333 45
250 Daydream Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,864 (-8%) 1mo $413,325 $222 43
277 Continuum 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,809 (-10%) 8mo $519,730 $287 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$181,680
Equity at exit
$382,874
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
5.82×
Total profit
$573,603
Equity at exit
$825,682

Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,966 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,229
Tax from tax record
$616 /mo · $7,388/yr
Insurance
$177
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$-779

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,951
Max offer price $287,463
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-538 -5% $-658 +0% $-779 +5% $-899 +10% $-1,019
Rent -10% $-1,013 -5% $-896 +0% $-779 +5% $-661 +10% $-544
Rate -1.0pp $-565 -0.5pp $-670 base $-779 +0.5pp $-889 +1.0pp $-1,001

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$106,250
Closing costs
$12,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
719 Cool Breeze Way Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,995 $1.90 14d 1 0.63mi
213 Daydream Ave Yulee, FL 3.0 2.5 1876 $2,950 $1.57 25d 1 0.83mi
467 Blue Daze St Yulee, FL 5.0 3.0 2696 $3,450 $1.28 6d 1 0.89mi
504 Blue Daze St Yulee, FL 3.0 2.5 2038 $2,595 $1.27 25d 1 0.89mi
305 Whitby Dr Yulee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1279 $2,815 $2.20 4d 45 1.19mi
76031 Long Pond Loop Yulee, FL 3.0 2.5 2459 $2,500 $1.02 18d 1 1.33mi
86215 Buggy Ct Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1675 $2,295 $1.37 22d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $425,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $425,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $425,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $425,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $425,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $425,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $425,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $425,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $425,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $425,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $425,000 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $435,000 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $435,000 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $435,000 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $435,000 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    price $435,000
  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $440,000 Active
  18. 2024-07-17
    soldstatus $419,000 Closed 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  19. 2024-05-31
    status Pending 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  20. 2024-05-30
    listed $419,000 Active
  21. 2024-05-17
    price $424,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  22. 2024-05-03
    price $444,790 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  23. 2024-05-01
    price $445,790 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  24. 2024-04-26
    price $441,290 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  25. 2024-04-19
    price $440,690 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  26. 2024-04-11
    price $455,690 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  27. 2024-03-08
    price $440,690 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

  28. 2024-02-27
    listed $439,190 Active 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    This new construction Juniper Bungalow showcases our Coastal Elevation and features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, an upstairs loft, 2-car garage in the rear, and ample storage throughout. This home boasts open-concept living with a beautiful Gourmet Kitchen with Built-In Whirlpool Appliances, White Cabinets accented with White Flow Backsplash, Quartz Countertops, and large center Island that all opens to your spacious Gathering Room and Café. Just beyond the Café is a Covered Lanai perfect for providing outdoor entertainment. The second floor offers a variety of bedrooms, Laundry Room, a full bathroom, and the Owner's Suite, which features a large Walk-In Closet, Dual-Vanity Sink with Soft-Close Flagstone Cabinets, Quartz Countertops, a Linen Closet, and Walk-In Glass Enclosed Shower. Enjoy peaceful sunrises on the covered front porch while being close to the brand-new kayak launch and Coin Toss Park!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,388 · $616/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,388 · $616/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,589
− Mortgage interest
−$23,807
− Property taxes
−$7,388
− Insurance
−$2,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,847
− Management
−$2,847
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$12,364
Taxable loss
−$16,989
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,077
After-tax cash flow
$-5,265/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Yulee

Score
66/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#11615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $435,000 AINCAR
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $440,000 AINCAR
  • 2024-07-17 Sold (MLS) $419,000 realMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Pending realMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Listed $419,000 AINCAR
  • 2024-05-17 Price Changed $424,000 realMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Price Changed $444,790 realMLS
  • 2024-05-01 Price Changed $445,790 realMLS
  • 2024-04-26 Price Changed $441,290 realMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Price Changed $440,690 realMLS
  • 2024-04-11 Price Changed $455,690 realMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Price Changed $440,690 realMLS
  • 2024-02-27 Listed $439,190 realMLS

Property tax history

+231.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,388 · +231.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…