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20 Kathy Ln
B- Composite 67.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,900

20 Kathy Ln · Temple, GA 30179
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Other · 71 Days on market
Built 2026 0.46 ac lot $149/sqft · 13% below area Est $229k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FULL 1 year warranty from CLAYTON HOMES. 100% USDA Financing Available. This brand new Clayton Mobile Home offers three bedrooms, two baths, an open kitchen concept with a kitchen island, and a breakfast area. The living area is open to the kitchen, while the private level backyard has a spacious deck and great for outdoor entertaining. Close to shopping and Temple. FHA, VA ,Conv financing available.

Key facts

  • Outdoor entertaining
  • Open kitchen concept
  • Spacious deck

Tags

OPEN KITCHEN CONCEPTKITCHEN ISLANDBREAKFAST AREAPRIVATE LEVEL BACKYARDSPACIOUS DECKOUTDOOR ENTERTAINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.8% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.63%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,070
List price
$199,900
Delta
-12.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$125,621
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$356,848
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30179

Home prices YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $401 -5% $332 +0% $263 +5% $193 +10% $124
Rent -10% $98 -5% $180 +0% $263 +5% $345 +10% $427
Rate -1.0pp $363 -0.5pp $313 base $263 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
273 Patriot Dr Temple, GA 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,100 $1.22 13d 1 0.21mi
269 Villa Rosa Way Temple, GA 3.0 2.0 1664 $1,925 $1.16 2d 1 0.33mi
395 Villa Rosa Rd Temple, GA 2.0 1.5–2.5 1119 $1,418 $1.27 2d 5 0.57mi
125 Fawn Ln Temple, GA 3.0 3.0 1234 $1,649 $1.34 44d 1 0.86mi
121 Breckenridge Pt Temple, GA 3.0 2.0 1687 $1,800 $1.07 20d 1 0.86mi
24 Country Pl Temple, GA 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,850 $2.28 44d 1 0.87mi
186 S Red Oak Way Temple, GA 4.0 3.0 1736 $1,790 $1.03 44d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,990 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,990 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,990 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,990 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,990 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,990 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,990 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,990 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-04-08
    listed $199,990 New 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    FULL 1 year warranty from CLAYTON HOMES. 100% USDA Financing Available. This brand new Clayton Mobile Home offers three bedrooms, two baths, an open kitchen concept with a kitchen island, and a breakfast area. The living area is open to the kitchen, while the private level backyard has a spacious deck and great for outdoor entertaining. Close to shopping and Temple. FHA, VA ,Conv financing available.

  15. 2005-07-01
    soldstatus $1,050,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,972
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,998
− Management
−$1,998
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$35
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$3,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carroll County
NCES district ID
1300840
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$48,692
Composite
35.62/100
National rank
#4888
State rank
#38 of 174 in GA

Livability — Temple

Score
72/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#5802

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carroll County · 124,888 people
City population
19,882
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
19,882
Household income
$76,571
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
396.0

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,370 people
By 2030
127,186 · +3.1%
By 2040
133,534 · +8.2%
By 2050
137,612 · +11.5%
By 2075
142,892 · +15.8%
By 2100
136,294 · +10.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.16%
Current HPI
435.3863
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-81.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $199,990 GAMLS
  • 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,050,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $134 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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