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555 W Warner Rd #156
B Composite 71.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,995

555 W Warner Rd #156 · Chandler, AZ 85225
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 113 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition $71/sqft · at area comps Est $74k · at est. ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Covered patio
  • Basketball court

Tags

WELL-APPOINTED KITCHENCOVERED PATIOCOMMUNITY POOLPLAYGROUNDCOMMUNITY ROOMBASKETBALL COURT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 3.3% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#9 in AZ, #2,508 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, cost of living D-.
  • Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,245 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.57%
Cap rate
22.37%
Cash-on-cash
57.43%
DSCR
3.56
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,602
List price
$74,995
Delta
1.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
555 W Warner Rd #55 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+4%) 3mo $74,955 $68 82
555 W Warner Rd #4 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,065 (+1%) 20mo $130,000 $122 82
555 W Warner Rd #65 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+3%) 17mo $112,000 $103 81
555 W Warner Rd #71 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-9%) 17mo $32,500 $34 66
1425 N Evergreen St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+8%) 3mo $295,000 $258 62
825 W Calle Del Norte -- 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,173 (+11%) 16mo $349,000 $298 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.5%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$46,229
Equity at exit
$11,182
10-year hold
IRR
56.6%
Equity multiple
5.81×
Total profit
$100,950
Equity at exit
$6,484

Cash invested: $20,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85225

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,928 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$1,005

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $74,995
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,749
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1970 N Hartford St #4 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.5 849 $1,650 $1.94 43d 1 0.17mi
1970 N Hartford St #62 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,650 $1.45 24d 1 0.17mi
1970 N Hartford St #99 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.5 1098 $1,850 $1.68 5d 1 0.17mi
1970 N Hartford St #99 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.5 1098 $1,850 $1.68 11d 1 0.17mi
1970 N Hartford St #4 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.5 849 $1,650 $1.94 24d 1 0.17mi
822 W Knox Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 4d 1 0.55mi
1351 N Pleasant Dr #2092 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,450 $2.65 43d 1 0.66mi
123 E Corporate Pl Chandler, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1285 $3,649 $2.84 5d 91 0.69mi
1351 N Pleasant Dr Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1299 $2,622 $2.02 24d 2 0.73mi
1351 N Pleasant Dr Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.5–2.0 1121 $2,535 $2.26 11d 3 0.73mi
300 E Warner Rd Chandler, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $1,936 $1.88 2d 28 0.77mi
98 W Orchid Ln Unit 98-03 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 43d 1 0.84mi
1287 N Alma School Rd Chandler, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 968 $1,895 $1.96 16d 2 0.88mi
699 W Ray Rd #5 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 825 $1,149 $1.39 11d 1 1.02mi
433 W Ray Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 770 $1,000 $1.30 43d 1 1.03mi
859 W Ray Rd Apt 2 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,125 $1.35 22d 1 1.09mi
859 W Ray Rd Apt 2 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,125 $1.35 18d 1 1.09mi
859 W Ray Rd Apt 3 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,050 $1.26 3d 1 1.09mi
859 W Ray Rd Apt 3 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,225 $1.47 5d 1 1.09mi
510 E Kent Ave Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,190 $1.54 3d 1 1.09mi
250 E Ray Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1156 $2,080 $1.80 5d 1 1.18mi
250 E Ray Rd Chandler, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1073 $3,948 $3.68 19d 11 1.18mi
250 E Ray Rd Unit 2 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1138 $1,684 $1.48 43d 1 1.20mi
3033 N Arizona Ave Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.0–3.0 944 $2,590 $2.74 2d 230 1.24mi
1370 W Gary Dr Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1468 $2,375 $1.62 22d 1 1.25mi
760 N Evergreen St Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1219 $2,100 $1.72 13d 1 1.32mi
235 E Ray Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1031 $1,904 $1.85 2d 9 1.36mi
815 E Calle del Norte Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,100 $1.68 5d 1 1.36mi
1817 N Dobson Rd Chandler, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $2,105 $2.10 3d 8 1.38mi
868 E Savannah Dr Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1259 $2,850 $2.26 2d 1 1.39mi
1600 N Saba St #115 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.5 870 $1,368 $1.57 24d 1 1.40mi
1600 N Saba St #163 Chandler, AZ 2.0 1.5 870 $1,550 $1.78 11d 1 1.40mi
1320 N McQueen Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 851 $1,387 $1.63 24d 1 1.47mi
1320 N McQueen Rd Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 883 $1,427 $1.62 5d 1 1.47mi
948 E Savannah Dr Chandler, AZ 3.0 2.0 1259 $2,700 $2.14 24d 1 1.48mi
886 W Galveston St #131 Chandler, AZ 2.0 2.0 1272 $1,800 $1.42 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  2. 2026-04-27
    price $74,995 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  3. 2026-04-07
    price $74,999 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  4. 2026-03-11
    price $77,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  5. 2026-03-07
    price $81,888 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  6. 2026-03-02
    price $82,999 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  7. 2026-02-19
    price $83,500 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  8. 2026-02-11
    price $84,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  9. 2026-02-02
    price $84,500 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  10. 2026-01-26
    price $85,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  11. 2026-01-12
    listed $86,000 Active 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    You don't want to miss this lovely 3-bedroom mobile home in the sought-after Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park! Inside, you'll find an inviting and warm layout with wood-look flooring, vaulted ceilings, wood-look finishes that add charm throughout, and a soothing palette. Whip up your signature dishes in the well-appointed kitchen, equipped with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and stainless steel essentials. The primary retreat hosts a closet and a full ensuite for privacy. Enjoy your morning coffee under the cozy covered patio, and don't forget to visit the community's pool, playground, community room, and basketball court for fun times! What's not to love? Come see it before it's too late!

  12. 2026-01-03
    historical
  13. 2026-01-02
    status Active
  14. 2026-01-01
    historical
  15. 2025-08-07
    price $97,800
  16. 2025-01-07
    price $114,000
  17. 2024-06-17
    price $125,000
  18. 2024-05-15
    listed $132,000 Active
  19. 2023-08-11
    soldstatus $124,500 Closed
  20. 2023-07-07
    status Pending
  21. 2023-05-18
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,137
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,851
− Management
−$1,851
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$11,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,773
After-tax cash flow
$9,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in Kon Tiki Mobile Home Park is move-in ready with modern updates and a good condition score.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with modern LED models — Modernizes the space and saves energy
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with modern LED models — Modernizes the space and saves energy
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
NCES district ID
0401870
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$74,048
Composite
47.54/100
National rank
#2268
State rank
#31 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Chandler

Score
78/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2508

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute B Cost of living D- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chandler, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
299,016
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
72,297
Household income
$88,676
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
2327.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 16% Black 7% Asian 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 21% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.25%
Current HPI
328.8354
Rent YoY
▼ -1.66%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $74,995 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $74,999 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $77,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $81,888 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $82,999 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $83,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $84,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $84,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $85,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $86,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $97,800 ARMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $114,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-06-17 Price Changed $125,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-05-15 Listed $132,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) $124,500 ARMLS
  • 2023-07-07 Pending ARMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $145,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…