4897 Beaver Creek Rd · Huntersville, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- Appreciation +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1.2 AC Great location close to Watoga State Park, Calvin Price State Forest, Monongahela National Forest
Key facts
- Watoga state park
- Built 1980
- Listed 276 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($592/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#291 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pocahontas County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #19 of 55 in WV (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marlinton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 203 students, 0% FRL); Pocahontas County High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 278 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
- Pocahontas County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.01%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $38,325
- Equity at exit
- $69,196
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $109,106
- Equity at exit
- $131,980
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24954
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $84 | +0% $49 | +5% $15 | +10% $-19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $9 | +0% $49 | +5% $89 | +10% $129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $99 | -0.5pp $75 | base $49 | +0.5pp $24 | +1.0pp $-2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2025-12-02price $99,000
-
2025-07-21$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$996
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$239
- After-tax cash flow
- $831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocahontas County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401140
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,035
- Composite
- 28.89/100
- National rank
- #6640
- State rank
- #19 of 55 in WV
Livability — Huntersville
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #23989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,973
Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,115 people
- By 2030
- 7,797 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 7,149 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 6,639 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 6,002 · -26.0%
- By 2100
- 5,379 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Serbian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.8% · R 74.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.8 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Current HPI
- 261.6948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GVBOR
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $99,000 GVBOR
- 2025-07-21 Listed $115,000 GVBOR
Property tax history
-14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $61 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…