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4897 Beaver Creek Rd
C Composite 57.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

4897 Beaver Creek Rd · Huntersville, WV 24954
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 276 Days on market
Built 1980 ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1.2 AC Great location close to Watoga State Park, Calvin Price State Forest, Monongahela National Forest

Key facts

  • Watoga state park
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 276 days

Tags

WATOGA STATE PARKCALVIN PRICE STATE FORESTMONONGAHELA NATIONAL FOREST

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($592/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#291 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pocahontas County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #19 of 55 in WV (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marlinton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 203 students, 0% FRL); Pocahontas County High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 278 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
  • Pocahontas County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.01%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$38,325
Equity at exit
$69,196
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$109,106
Equity at exit
$131,980

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24954

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $950
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $84 +0% $49 +5% $15 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $9 +0% $49 +5% $89 +10% $129
Rate -1.0pp $99 -0.5pp $75 base $49 +0.5pp $24 +1.0pp $-2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-02
    price $99,000
  3. 2025-07-21
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,151
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$972
− Management
−$972
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$239
After-tax cash flow
$831/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocahontas County Schools
NCES district ID
5401140
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,035
Composite
28.89/100
National rank
#6640
State rank
#19 of 55 in WV

Livability — Huntersville

Score
54/100
State rank
#291
US rank
#23989

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,973

Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,115 people
By 2030
7,797 · -3.9%
By 2040
7,149 · -11.9%
By 2050
6,639 · -18.2%
By 2075
6,002 · -26.0%
By 2100
5,379 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 10% Serbian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.8% · R 74.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-37.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.8 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.09%
Current HPI
261.6948
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending GVBOR
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $99,000 GVBOR
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $115,000 GVBOR

Property tax history

-14.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $61 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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