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25 Lincoln Ave
B- Composite 65.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$80,000

25 Lincoln Ave · Wheatland, PA 16161
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
7,466 sqft lot $83/sqft · 13% below area Est $92k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming ranch-style home located in the quiet community of Wheatland, PA, offering convenient one-level living and endless potential. This property features a functional layout with spacious living areas, making it ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking a solid addition to their portfolio. The home sits on a manageable lot, providing just the right amount of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable floor plan with ample natural light and the opportunity to customize to your personal taste. Whether you’re looking to move right in or update over time, this home provides a great foundation to make it your own. The ranch design allows for easy accessibility and practical day-to-day living. Located near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways, this property offers both convenience and small-town charm. The surrounding area continues to see steady buyer interest, making this an attractive option for both homeowners and investors alike. Property is currently occupied. This property is exclusively offered through www. auction.com Do not disturb the occupant. No interior access is available at this time. Don’t miss the opportunity to purchase a property with strong potential in Wheatland. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

Key facts

  • Ample natural light
  • Manageable lot
  • Ranch design

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTMANAGEABLE LOTAMPLE NATURAL LIGHTRANCH DESIGNNEAR LOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,436 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Farrell Area SD (suburban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #492 of 539 in PA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 91% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.71%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,930
List price
$80,000
Delta
-12.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Shenango Blvd 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 846 (-12%) 12mo $26,000 $31 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,403
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$13,698
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16161

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$925 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,155/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 60 DOM
  18. 2026-03-31
    listed $80,000 Active 1377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1377 chars)

    Charming ranch-style home located in the quiet community of Wheatland, PA, offering convenient one-level living and endless potential. This property features a functional layout with spacious living areas, making it ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking a solid addition to their portfolio. The home sits on a manageable lot, providing just the right amount of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable floor plan with ample natural light and the opportunity to customize to your personal taste. Whether you’re looking to move right in or update over time, this home provides a great foundation to make it your own. The ranch design allows for easy accessibility and practical day-to-day living. Located near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways, this property offers both convenience and small-town charm. The surrounding area continues to see steady buyer interest, making this an attractive option for both homeowners and investors alike. Property is currently occupied. This property is exclusively offered through www. auction.com Do not disturb the occupant. No interior access is available at this time. Don’t miss the opportunity to purchase a property with strong potential in Wheatland. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,155 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,210 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$54/yr (+$5/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,096
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,155
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$888
− Management
−$888
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$230
After-tax cash flow
$1,946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farrell Area SD
NCES district ID
4209690
Math proficiency
15% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,101
Composite
17.21/100
National rank
#9102
State rank
#492 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wheatland

Score
61/100
State rank
#1436
US rank
#18370

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wheatland, PA
City population
703
Population (ZIP)
703

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,341 people
By 2030
104,269 · -3.8%
By 2040
94,624 · -12.7%
By 2050
84,891 · -21.6%
By 2075
65,094 · -39.9%
By 2100
47,657 · -56.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 23% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.2) · D 34.5% · R 64.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -30.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.2 2020: R+26.0 2016: R+25.0 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.81%
Current HPI
86.7962
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $80,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,155 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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