1039 James St · Franklin, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.14%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential for the buyer with vision. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or begin your next flip project, this property is a great opportunity to build equity. With some repairs and updates, this home can easily be transformed into a valuable asset. Conveniently located and priced to sell, it's ready for the right investor to bring it back to life. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Listed 189 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($827 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 5.5% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lagrange Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #415 of 646 statewide, top 67%, 229 students, 88% FRL); Franklin Junior High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 211 students, 88% FRL); Franklin Senior High School (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #179 of 265 statewide, top 68%, 297 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $42k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.19%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,110
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- 8.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1039 James St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (0%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $52 | 100 |
| 905 St Charles St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (-8%) | 15mo | $48,000 | $68 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $25,806
- Equity at exit
- $21,241
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $63,991
- Equity at exit
- $31,801
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70538
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $827 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $501/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $343 | +0% $329 | +5% $315 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $264 | -5% $296 | +0% $329 | +5% $362 | +10% $394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $354 | -0.5pp $342 | base $329 | +0.5pp $316 | +1.0pp $303 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-11-21$50,000 Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers incredible potential for the buyer with vision. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or begin your next flip project, this property is a great opportunity to build equity. With some repairs and updates, this home can easily be transformed into a valuable asset. Conveniently located and priced to sell, it's ready for the right investor to bring it back to life. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!
-
2020-03-13soldstatus $42,000
-
2012-08-08soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $501 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $501 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$501
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$794
- − Management
- −$794
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$800
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Mary Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,843
- Composite
- 28.1/100
- National rank
- #6828
- State rank
- #37 of 98 in LA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #10368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,561
Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,510 people
- By 2030
- 47,570 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 43,880 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 40,655 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 37,190 · -24.9%
- By 2100
- 38,101 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Current HPI
- 82.9321
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-21 Listed $50,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $501 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…