2333 County Road 800 Rd E · Burnt Prairie, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Country Living with Convenience! If you've been dreaming of a peaceful country setting, this charming brick home on approximately 0.80 acres could be just what you're looking for. Offering 2 bedrooms and plenty of versatile living space, the enclosed front porch is perfect for a home office, nursery, hobby room, or additional sitting area. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room accented by charming arched doorways, a dining room with a beautiful bay window that fills the space with natural light, a functional kitchen, and a spacious full bath with laundry area. One of the highlights of this home is the large sunroom overlooking the expansive backyard and surrounding open countryside
Key facts
- Large sunroom
- Storage shed
- Open countryside
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.5–0.99 acre with dimensions about 197 x 177
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces (four parking spaces total)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Sun room (12 x 17); Enclosed heated porch (7 x 22); Dining room (10 x 14); Living room (14 x 13); Family room
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (11 x 14); Linoleum flooring in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (12 x 12); Second bedroom on the main level (11 x 12); Additional bedroom listings present
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas, bedrooms, dining room, sun room, and enclosed porch; Linoleum in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (3 x 12) with linoleum flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Carmi-White County CUSD 5 (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #264 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- White County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.95%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $21,556
- Equity at exit
- $38,220
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $60,917
- Equity at exit
- $58,901
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62820
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $958 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $202 | +0% $178 | +5% $153 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $102 | -5% $140 | +0% $178 | +5% $215 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $220 | -0.5pp $199 | base $178 | +0.5pp $156 | +1.0pp $133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,551 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$378/yr (+$32/mo · 32.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,173
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$919
- − Management
- −$919
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $820
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$197
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming brick home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key updates include painting, updating fixtures, and replacing appliances.
Repairs flagged
- Major Appliances — Old and worn
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Dated and in need of replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating fixtures — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both New flooring — Enhances comfort and value
- Both Appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Appliances · Old and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating fixtures — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both New flooring — Enhances comfort and value ↑
- Both Appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carmi-White County CUSD 5
- NCES district ID
- 1708500
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,328
- Composite
- 25.02/100
- National rank
- #7555
- State rank
- #264 of 620 in IL
Livability — Burnt Prairie
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #971
- US rank
- #18795
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 152
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,756 people
- By 2030
- 13,316 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 12,487 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 11,731 · -14.7%
- By 2075
- 9,948 · -27.7%
- By 2100
- 7,494 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.4) · D 19.7% · R 79.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.4pp toward R · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: -59.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.4 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+36.0 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,173 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…