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9650 Troon Ct
C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

9650 Troon Ct · Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,726 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1989 7,841 sqft lot $145/sqft · 36% below area Est $393k · 36% under $465/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the potential of this distinctive 3BR, 2BA home situated within the sought-after Mission Lakes Country Club, Desert Hot Springs. Offering 1,726 sq ft of space, this HUD-owned property presents a canvas for those with a vision to create an exceptional desert retreat. At the heart of the home lies a welcoming living area, anchored by a fireplace that sets a foundational warmth in the cooler months. A layout that invites customization, the space allows for imaginative redesign to suit modern living while preserving intimacy. The kitchen, ready for transformation, opens towards the dining and living areas, promising a vibrant future filled with gatherings and shared moments. Outside,

Key facts

  • Large patio cover
  • Cul-de-sac
  • Fireplace

Tags

WELCOMING LIVING AREAFIREPLACESUBSTANTIAL SIDE YARDLARGE PATIO COVERCUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listed as Real Estate Owned; Acceptable financing: Conventional, FHA, Cash; Property sold as-is; CC&R apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $465; Association amenities include clubhouse, greenbelt/park, golf course, fitness center, card room; Part of an association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached 2-car garage; Covered parking with direct entrance
  • Utilities: PUD: Yes; Sewer: Unknown
  • Home design: Single family residence, detached; One story
  • Construction: Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Fee simple land; Development has a golf course; Other security/safety features

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Decorative fireplace in the great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,969/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $126k; list at $250k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.86%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$392,644
List price
$250,000
Delta
-36.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9621 Siwanoy Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (-4%) 1mo $400,000 $240 84
9740 Capiland Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,772 (+3%) 3mo $400,000 $226 84
8817 Clubhouse Blvd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,749 (+1%) 2mo $395,000 $226 75
9187 Oakmount Blvd 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,672 (-3%) 2mo $409,000 $245 75
64754 Pinehurst Cir 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,831 (+6%) 2mo $465,000 $254 74
8965 Mountain Pass Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,749 (+1%) 2mo $379,000 $217 70
64771 Augusta Ave 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,749 (+1%) 3mo $425,000 $243 68
9086 Silver Star Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,835 (+6%) 3mo $410,000 $223 63
64178 Yosemite Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,835 (+6%) 2mo $360,000 $196 61
64543 Pinehurst Cir 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-11%) 1mo $329,000 $214 60
8753 Rockies Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,630 (-6%) 3mo $392,000 $240 56
9980 Hoylake Rd 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (-11%) 3mo $310,000 $201 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-16,556
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$22,723
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,969 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,488/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$465
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$624
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,537
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9591 Capiland Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1707 $2,450 $1.44 24d 1 0.19mi
8780 Warwick Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 3.0 1896 $3,195 $1.69 2d 1 0.22mi
64356 Doral Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.5 1976 $3,500 $1.77 19d 1 0.34mi
8960 Kirkwood Ct Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 3.0 2176 $4,700 $2.16 43d 1 0.35mi
64243 Eagle Mountain Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 2221 $2,500 $1.13 10d 1 0.57mi
64355 Silver Star Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 3.0 2107 $4,000 $1.90 2d 1 0.60mi
65161 Rolling Hills Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 4.0 2.0 1922 $3,400 $1.77 5d 1 0.62mi
64224 Silver Star Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1206 $2,750 $2.28 1d 1 0.65mi
65439 Via del Sol Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1811 $2,500 $1.38 15d 1 0.76mi
8419 Meadows Way Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 2172 $2,600 $1.20 43d 1 0.76mi
65548 Avenida Barona Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,799 $2.33 10d 1 0.97mi
11693 Mountain Hawk Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA 4.0 3.0 1666 $2,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$465 · $5,580/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1317-char remark
  2. 2026-04-25
    listed $250,000 Active 1317-char remark
  3. 1992-04-30
    soldstatus $125,500
  4. 1989-05-31
    soldstatus $115,000
  5. 1988-06-27
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,488 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$412/yr (+$34/mo · 27.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,631
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,488
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,851
− Management
−$2,851
− HOA
−$5,580
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$81
After-tax cash flow
$4,018/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Hot Springs

Score
49/100
State rank
#1149
US rank
#25774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
41,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2172.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $250,000 GPSMLS
  • 1992-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
  • 1989-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1988-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,488 · -30.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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