10016 Frink Rd Unit SP 44 · Bombay Beach, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 115°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Niland, Ca. Lark Spa Mobile Home Park 10016 Frink Rd, SP 44 . Quaint Park affordable winter getaway or permanent home with Views of the Sea, Mountains, Valley and Sunsets, 55+ RV Park. RV park with only 77 spaces. Single wide 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath. 1994 Trailer with enclosed bonus large screened in porch. and Also Bonus Large Shed that has a twin bed and air conditioner for additional guest room/hobby spot or man cave office. Open concept living room/Kitchen. Covered Carport. Sold "AS-IS". Lowest space rent in the area approx. $200. per month after 6 month probation of $320. Popular Winter getaway area known for its gorgeous winter weather and valley views. Located just East of Bo
Key facts
- Views of the valley
- Views of the sunsets
- Views of the sea
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Clubhouse; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces total; Attached parking; 1 carport space
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Residential property
- Exterior features: Patio; Shed(s); Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Furnished; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,326 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Calipatria Unified (town): math 9% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #485 of 517 in CA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $923 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $750 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 49.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 154.93%
- DSCR
- 7.89
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.66×
- Total profit
- $60,593
- Equity at exit
- $11,241
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.30×
- Total profit
- $135,068
- Equity at exit
- $17,324
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92257
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,363 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $921 | -5% $912 | +0% $904 | +5% $895 | +10% $886 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $796 | -5% $850 | +0% $904 | +5% $958 | +10% $1,011 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $916 | -0.5pp $910 | base $904 | +0.5pp $897 | +1.0pp $891 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$25,000 Active 1100-char remark
-
2025-09-28$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,308
- − Management
- −$1,308
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $11,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,666
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calipatria Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0606990
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,088
- Composite
- 14.28/100
- National rank
- #9446
- State rank
- #485 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bombay Beach
- Score
- 44/100
- State rank
- #1326
- US rank
- #26648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,185
Population outlook (Imperial County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 186,713 people
- By 2030
- 190,022 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 195,993 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 199,534 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 216,878 · +16.2%
- By 2100
- 352,705 · +88.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 23% White 21% Black 12% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 59%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Imperial
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.1% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: 26.2pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+41.1 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+26.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $25,000 ICAOR
- 2025-09-28 Listed $20,000 ICAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…