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7915 Edmonston Cir
C- Composite 53.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$749,000

7915 Edmonston Cir · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34201
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,627 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 2003 9,374 sqft lot Est $830k · 10% under $112/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Courtyard pool
  • 9,374 sq ft lot

Tags

COURTYARD POOLEXTENSIVE LANDSCAPINGWATER FOUNTAIN FEATUREHURRICANE WINDOWS AND SHUTTERSCUSTOM WALK IN CLOSETSCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Zoning: PDMU/WPE
  • Financial info: CDD assessed on property; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA with monthly fee of $112 (includes common area taxes, pool, management); Community amenities: fitness center, playground, pool, sidewalks; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 garage spaces
  • Security: Gated community; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single family home
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened patio/porch; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Metered sprinkler/irrigation equipment; Mature landscaping with trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic ventilator; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Solid surface counters; Stone counters; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Window treatments (blinds, rods, thermal windows)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Inside utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $749k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $682k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $659k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert Willis Elementary School (math 83% / reading 79%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 765 students, 22% FRL); Braden River Middle School (math 54% / reading 47%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 810 students, 58% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($659k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $530k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $659,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$830,132
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7915 Edmonston Cir 0.00mi 3/3.0 2,627 (0%) 1mo $725,000 $276 99
7918 Edmonston Cir 0.04mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,314 (-12%) 0mo $640,000 $277 73
7804 Edmonston Cir 0.06mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,352 (-10%) 6mo $690,000 $293 70
8113 Collingwood Ct 0.64mi 3/3.0 2,632 (+0%) 1mo $980,000 $372 69
7905 Drayton Cir 0.11mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,435 (-7%) 13mo $769,000 $316 67
7816 Ashley Cir 0.27mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,693 (+2%) 11mo $780,000 $290 67
7915 Warwick Gardens Ln 0.34mi 3/3.0 2,915 (+11%) 3mo $1,155,000 $396 63
7519 Ascot Ct 0.61mi 3/2.5 2,674 (+2%) 13mo $1,283,000 $480 56
8033 Fairhaven Gln 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,561 (-2%) 2mo $1,435,000 $560 55
7340 Saint Georges Way 0.64mi 3/2.5 2,346 (-11%) 1mo $550,000 $234 50
7723 Heyward Cir 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,509 (-4%) 13mo $710,000 $283 44
7204 Saint Georges Way 0.71mi 3/2.5 2,902 (+10%) 6mo $1,050,000 $362 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-53,337
Equity at exit
$159,036
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$24,363
Equity at exit
$149,089

Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34201

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,822 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,928
Tax from tax record
$668 /mo · $8,019/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$112
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,433
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,355
Max offer price $749,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $793 -5% $581 +0% $369 +5% $157 +10% $-55
Rent -10% $-170 -5% $100 +0% $369 +5% $639 +10% $908
Rate -1.0pp $746 -0.5pp $560 base $369 +0.5pp $175 +1.0pp $-22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,250
Closing costs
$22,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7005 Stanhope Pl University Park, FL 4.0 3.0 2846 $9,000 $3.16 25d 1 0.94mi
7135 Kensington Ct University Park, FL 2.0 2.0 2208 $7,000 $3.17 25d 1 0.95mi
6914 Stanhope Pl University Park, FL 3.0 4.0 2951 $8,000 $2.71 5d 1 0.99mi
6939 Lennox Pl University Park, FL 3.0 2.0 2034 $8,300 $4.08 25d 1 1.02mi
6909 Lennox Pl University Park, FL 3.0 2.0 2032 $6,500 $3.20 17d 1 1.03mi
6920 Lennox Pl University Park, FL 3.0 2.0 2044 $8,300 $4.06 25d 1 1.06mi
9405 Boxthorn Pl Bradenton, FL 3.0 3.0 2669 $6,900 $2.59 5d 1 1.09mi
6945 74th Street Cir E Bradenton, FL 4.0 3.5 2930 $3,300 $1.13 17d 1 1.19mi
7710 Lake Vista Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1762 $2,950 $1.67 25d 1 1.34mi
8133 Misty Oaks Blvd Sarasota, FL 3.0 2.5 2423 $4,300 $1.77 25d 1 1.39mi
7101 Victoria Cir University Park, FL 3.0 2.5 2254 $3,900 $1.73 25d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$112 · $1,344/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    price $749,000
  3. 2026-02-17
    price $769,000
  4. 2025-12-13
    listed $799,000 Active
  5. 2016-07-20
    soldstatus $530,000
  6. 2016-07-18
    soldstatus $530,000 Sold 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

  7. 2016-06-25
    status Pending 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

  8. 2016-06-22
    historical 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

  9. 2016-05-20
    status Pending 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

  10. 2016-05-10
    price $535,000 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

  11. 2016-04-07
    listed $550,000 Active 1583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1583 chars)

    Stunning & meticulously maintained 3br/3ba/3cg + POOL courtyard style home located in the premiere GATED community of University Place. Professionally decorated, this Cypress floor plan was designed for those who appreciate outdoor spaces, w/ a dramatic courtyard entry w/ lanai & gorgeous pool. LOADED WITH UPGRADES, this impressive home boasts all the bells & whistles & will constantly remind you why you didn't skimp on the details! You will appreciate the CUSTOM finishes throughout the home that include PLANTATION SHUTTERS, rounded archways, & custom built-in closets. See attached for extensive list of upgrades. The chef’s kitchen showcases GRANITE countertops, SS appliances, glass tile backsplash, & a sunny breakfast nook. The kitchen overlooks the spacious family room allowing plenty of family interaction & entertaining. The master retreat boasts HARDWOOD FLOORS, POOL VIEWS, & a luxurious en suite bath w/ a free standing soaking tub & a huge frameless glass shower. The third bedroom is located across the courtyard & features its own entrance & private bathroom, perfect for guests or a multigenerational household. An expansive screened in lanai off the rear of the home offers even more outdoor enjoyment for you & your family! Desirably located just west of I-75 surrounded by shopping & restaurants, w/ easy access to golf, beaches, downtown Sarasota & more. This stunning home is truly one of a kind & a must see to appreciate! * Seller is offering a Home Warranty *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,019 · $668/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,019 · $668/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$81,863
− Mortgage interest
−$41,956
− Property taxes
−$8,019
− Insurance
−$3,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,549
− Management
−$6,549
− HOA
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$21,789
Taxable loss
−$8,088
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,941
After-tax cash flow
$6,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
52,177
Population (ZIP)
3,993

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, South Korea, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.61%
Current HPI
173.9689
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $749,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $769,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-13 Listed $799,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
  • 2016-07-18 Sold (MLS) $530,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-25 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-22 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-10 Price Changed $535,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-07 Listed $550,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,019 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…