11 Maple St · Canton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on the edge of the St. Lawrence University campus and just minutes from the village, this 4-bedroom, 1 1/2-bath home offers an excellent investment opportunity. The property features a large parking area, providing ample off-street parking for residents and guests. The highly desirable location offers convenient access to campus, local shops and village amenities. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase a home in a sought-after area, this property combines strong rental potential with everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Sought-after area
- Convenient access
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential property; 2 stories; Frontage approximately 83 feet
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (27.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#218 in NY, #3,402 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Canton Central School District (rural): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #321 of 590 in NY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $145k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.98%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,052
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Miner St | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (-8%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $113 | 70 |
| 9 Nickerson St | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,279 (+6%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 59 Buck St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-4%) | 10mo | $181,500 | $157 | 64 |
| 16 Lincoln St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,102 (-8%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 7 Harrison St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,221 (+1%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 6315 Ush 11 | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (-3%) | 19mo | $9,000 | $8 | 52 |
| 60 Miner St | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 | 1,041 (-14%) | 22mo | $95,000 | $91 | 43 |
| 10 Harrison St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (+2%) | 20mo | $122,000 | $99 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $68,248
- Equity at exit
- $130,627
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.16×
- Total profit
- $209,455
- Equity at exit
- $281,703
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13617
- Home prices YoY
- 22.5%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $-169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-68 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-219 | +10% $-269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-210 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-127 | +10% $-85 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-96 | -0.5pp $-132 | base $-169 | +0.5pp $-206 | +1.0pp $-244 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Judson St Canton, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,055 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09status $145,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 546-char remark
-
2026-06-04$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$4,606
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $-918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606470
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,157
- Composite
- 46.27/100
- National rank
- #2481
- State rank
- #321 of 590 in NY
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #3402
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,294
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 56.56%
- Current HPI
- 308.0415
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+145.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $145,000 SLCMLS
- 2001-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…