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501 Green St
B- Composite 68.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

501 Green St · Rockdale, TX 76567
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1900 8,167 sqft lot $51/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity with strong income potential in growing Rockdale! Conveniently located approximately 1 hour from Austin, Temple, and College Station. This property features a flexible layout that may work well for a guest suite, multi-generational living, or rental setup. The home currently offers separate living areas with individual kitchens and living spaces (2 bed/1 bath on one side and 1 bed/1 bath on the other). Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a value-add property with rental potential. Buyer to independently verify zoning, permits, square footage, and allowable use. Selling strictly as-is. No survey available.

Key facts

  • Own kitchen
  • Unique layout
  • Own living area

Tags

UNIQUE LAYOUTFUNCTION AS A DUPLEXOWN KITCHENOWN LIVING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes reported for 2025

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Space for 4 vehicles; Garage(s) on site
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Composition roof; See remarks for construction materials; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Covered front porch; Back yard fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; See remarks for additional interior details

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.6% in Rockdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,040 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockdale ISD (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #395 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
13.89%
Cash-on-cash
27.12%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,354
List price
$85,000
Delta
-62.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 E Belton Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,552 (-6%) 8mo $230,000 $148 82
415 N Main St 0.16mi 3/3.0 1,598 (-4%) 3mo $219,900 $138 81
107 Elm Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,594 (-4%) 5mo $112,500 $71 69
501 San Gabriel St 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,450 (-12%) 6mo $195,000 $134 66
413 Pickel Dr 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,691 (+2%) 16mo $256,075 $151 65
304 Thrall Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-14%) 13mo $209,180 $147 61
303 E 1st St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,516 (-8%) 12mo $176,900 $117 58
302 Pickel Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-10%) 7mo $248,755 $167 54
159 Oak Park One 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,756 (+6%) 14mo $287,500 $164 53
703 N Wilcox St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,460 (-12%) 6mo $223,000 $153 52
606 Francine Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,825 (+10%) 10mo $285,000 $156 42
505 Pickel Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-10%) 12mo $235,505 $158 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$20,617
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$62,610
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76567

Home prices YoY
-12.9%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$284 /mo · $3,414/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $969
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $562 +0% $538 +5% $514 +10% $490
Rent -10% $408 -5% $473 +0% $538 +5% $603 +10% $668
Rate -1.0pp $581 -0.5pp $559 base $538 +0.5pp $516 +1.0pp $493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
823 Hickory St Rockdale, TX 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,650 $1.33 44d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $85,000 Active 820-char remark
  18. 2024-07-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,414 · $284/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,414 · $284/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$3,414
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,334
After-tax cash flow
$5,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockdale ISD
NCES district ID
4837590
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,586
Composite
34.64/100
National rank
#5147
State rank
#395 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rockdale

Score
60/100
State rank
#1040
US rank
#18508

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockdale, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,457

Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,051 people
By 2030
23,613 · -1.8%
By 2040
22,693 · -5.6%
By 2050
21,879 · -9.0%
By 2075
20,974 · -12.8%
By 2100
19,414 · -19.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 11% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 21% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Milam

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.12%
Current HPI
217.5536
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $85,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2024-07-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,414 · +56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…