501 Green St · Rockdale, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity with strong income potential in growing Rockdale! Conveniently located approximately 1 hour from Austin, Temple, and College Station. This property features a flexible layout that may work well for a guest suite, multi-generational living, or rental setup. The home currently offers separate living areas with individual kitchens and living spaces (2 bed/1 bath on one side and 1 bed/1 bath on the other). Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a value-add property with rental potential. Buyer to independently verify zoning, permits, square footage, and allowable use. Selling strictly as-is. No survey available.
Key facts
- Own kitchen
- Unique layout
- Own living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes reported for 2025
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Space for 4 vehicles; Garage(s) on site
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Slab foundation
- Construction: Composition roof; See remarks for construction materials; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Covered front porch; Back yard fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Wood flooring; See remarks for additional interior details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.6% in Rockdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,040 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Rockdale ISD (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #395 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.12%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,354
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -62.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 E Belton Ave | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (-6%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $148 | 82 |
| 415 N Main St | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 | 1,598 (-4%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $138 | 81 |
| 107 Elm Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,594 (-4%) | 5mo | $112,500 | $71 | 69 |
| 501 San Gabriel St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-12%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $134 | 66 |
| 413 Pickel Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,691 (+2%) | 16mo | $256,075 | $151 | 65 |
| 304 Thrall Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-14%) | 13mo | $209,180 | $147 | 61 |
| 303 E 1st St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-8%) | 12mo | $176,900 | $117 | 58 |
| 302 Pickel Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-10%) | 7mo | $248,755 | $167 | 54 |
| 159 Oak Park One | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,756 (+6%) | 14mo | $287,500 | $164 | 53 |
| 703 N Wilcox St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-12%) | 6mo | $223,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 606 Francine Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,825 (+10%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $156 | 42 |
| 505 Pickel Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-10%) | 12mo | $235,505 | $158 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $20,617
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $62,610
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76567
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $586 | -5% $562 | +0% $538 | +5% $514 | +10% $490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $473 | +0% $538 | +5% $603 | +10% $668 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $581 | -0.5pp $559 | base $538 | +0.5pp $516 | +1.0pp $493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823 Hickory St Rockdale, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$85,000 Active 820-char remark
-
2024-07-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,414 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,414 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$3,414
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,334
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockdale ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4837590
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,586
- Composite
- 34.64/100
- National rank
- #5147
- State rank
- #395 of 826 in TX
Livability — Rockdale
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1040
- US rank
- #18508
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockdale, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,457
Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,051 people
- By 2030
- 23,613 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 22,693 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 21,879 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 20,974 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 19,414 · -19.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 11% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.12%
- Current HPI
- 217.5536
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $85,000 Unlock MLS
- 2024-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,414 · +56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…