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17073 Craig St 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$404,990

17073 Craig St · Omaha, NE 68007
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,191 sqft · Other · 87 Days on market
Built 2026 0.31 ac lot $56/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Hamilton in Majestic Pointe ll - a beautifully designed ranch-style home offering 2,190 sq. ft. of finished living space with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, including a finished basement. From the moment you enter, the bright foyer leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—ideal for guests or a home office. At the heart of the home is an open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample prep space. The adjoining great room is flooded with natural light from large windows and centered around a cozy electric fireplace. The private primary suite offers a spa-like retreat with a dual-sink vanity, walk-in s

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Open great room

Tags

FINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENTCORNER LOTOPEN GREAT ROOMGOURMET KITCHENWALK-IN PANTRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $405k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $362k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (32.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $275k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Bennington Public Schools (rural): math 67% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #3 of 111 in NE (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Anchor Pointe Elementary (math 65% / reading 71%, grade B+, #63 of 502 statewide, top 12%, 475 students, 8% FRL); Bennington South Middle School (510 students, 9% FRL); Bennington High School (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #21 of 261 statewide, top 8%, 1,002 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($381k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $275,349 (32.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.58%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-73,132
Equity at exit
$60,385
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-48,714
Equity at exit
$35,016

Cash invested: $113,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68007

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,753 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,124
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $845/yr
Insurance
$169
HOA
$56
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$-244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,062
Max offer price $361,934
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-14 -5% $-129 +0% $-244 +5% $-819 +10% $-959
Rent -10% $-461 -5% $-352 +0% $-244 +5% $-135 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-40 -0.5pp $-141 base $-244 +0.5pp $-349 +1.0pp $-455

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$101,248
Closing costs
$12,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17451 Tucker St Bennington, NE 3.0 3.5 2442 $3,100 $1.27 25d 1 0.47mi
7308 N 167th Ave Bennington, NE 4.0 3.0 2213 $3,000 $1.36 3d 1 0.51mi
16333 Potter St Bennington, NE 3.0 2.0 1618 $3,200 $1.98 3d 1 0.72mi
8903 N 167th St Bennington, NE 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,500 $1.65 3d 1 0.75mi
6220 N 160th Ave Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1137 $2,690 $2.36 3d 13 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$56 · $672/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-04
    price $404,990
  3. 2026-01-02
    price $399,990
  4. 2025-12-04
    status Back On Market
  5. 2025-12-04
    price $404,990
  6. 2025-09-29
    status Pending
  7. 2025-09-25
    listed $414,990 New
  8. 2025-08-08
    soldstatus $721,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$845 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,006 · $584/mo
Expected delta
+$6,161/yr (+$513/mo · 729.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,042
− Mortgage interest
−$22,686
− Property taxes
−$845
− Insurance
−$2,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,643
− Management
−$2,643
− HOA
−$672
− Depreciation
−$11,782
Taxable loss
−$10,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,461
After-tax cash flow
$-464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bennington Public Schools
NCES district ID
3103990
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$87,771
Composite
60.5/100
National rank
#843
State rank
#3 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
19,536
Household income
$141,042
Rent vs Own
7.5% rent · 92.5% own
Severe rent burden
107.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.06%
Current HPI
250.3443
Rent YoY
▲ 5.88%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-43.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $404,990 GPRMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $399,990 GPRMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted GPRMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $404,990 GPRMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $414,990 GPRMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $721,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+79.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $845 · +94.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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