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404 4th Ave
B- Composite 66.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,000

404 4th Ave · Selma, AL 36701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 535 Days on market
Built 1957 10,018 sqft lot $51/sqft · 103% above area ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home for a Handy Man or Investor. Sold in "AS IS" Condition

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $57k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 7.5% in Selma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#407 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Selma City (town): math 2% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #118 of 129 in AL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 535 days — a 12% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 535 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.73%
Cash-on-cash
26.55%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$28,143
List price
$57,000
Delta
102.54%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
802 2nd Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,122 (+0%) 6mo $5,750 $5 77
521 Third Ave 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,074 (-4%) 6mo $10,000 $9 77
96 L L Anderson Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,278 (+14%) 2mo $13,000 $10 51
418 Laurel Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,223 (+9%) 14mo $28,000 $23 51
1316 Lauderdale St 0.66mi 3/— 1,180 (+5%) 19mo $3,000 $3 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$13,257
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$40,525
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36701

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $698/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $482
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1300 Cloverdale Rd Selma, AL 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1204 $929 $0.77 21d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $57,000 Active 535 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,000 Active 534 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,000 Active 533 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,000 Active 532 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,000 Active 531 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $57,000 Active 529 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $57,000 Active 528 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,000 Active 525 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,000 Active 524 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,000 Active 523 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,000 Active 522 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $57,000 Active 519 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $57,000 Active 518 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $57,000 Active 517 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,000 Active 516 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,000 Active 515 DOM
  17. 2025-12-23
    price $57,000 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Great home for a Handy Man or Investor. Sold in "AS IS" Condition

  18. 2025-08-12
    price $62,000 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Great home for a Handy Man or Investor. Sold in "AS IS" Condition

  19. 2024-12-31
    listed $72,000 Active 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Great home for a Handy Man or Investor. Sold in "AS IS" Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$698 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$698 · $58/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,148
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$698
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$892
− Management
−$892
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$3,530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$847
After-tax cash flow
$3,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selma City
NCES district ID
0102970
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$23,380
Composite
9.07/100
National rank
#9870
State rank
#118 of 129 in AL

Livability — Selma

Score
56/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#22550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Selma, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,358

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,464 people
By 2030
32,631 · -8.0%
By 2040
27,246 · -23.2%
By 2050
22,691 · -36.0%
By 2075
14,867 · -58.1%
By 2100
10,285 · -71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.5) · D 65.9% · R 33.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 32.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.5 2020: D+37.5 2016: D+37.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.98%
Current HPI
176.6034
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $57,000 MAAR
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $62,000 MAAR
  • 2024-12-31 Listed $72,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $698 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…