Triplex
820 52nd St · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located triplex near Children’s Hospital and BART, with two 2-bed/1.25-bath units and one 4-bed/1.25-bath owner's unit. Enjoy proximity to the vibrant Temescal district along Telegraph Avenue, known for its popular dining, cafes, and local shops. A great opportunity for investors or owner-users to add value. Don’t miss neighborhood favorites like Emeryville's Bay Street and The Kingfish Pub on game days!
Key facts
- Temescal district
- Telegraph avenue
- Triplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×2bd/1.25ba + 1×4bd/1.25ba units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $535/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $899k).
- Recommended offer: $845k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,308/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($120k/yr) (locally 2495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($845k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $200k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.66%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,230,564
- List price
- $899,000
- Delta
- -26.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 843 47th St | 0.13mi | 8/4.0 (+1) | 3,286 (-15%) | 14mo | $750,000 | $228 | 53 |
| 5664 Gaskill St | 0.60mi | 8/4.0 (+1) | 3,296 (-14%) | 5mo | $1,159,000 | $352 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-39,999
- Equity at exit
- $134,044
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $110,797
- Equity at exit
- $77,729
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94608
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 22.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,448 /mo · $17,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,165
- Net cashflow
- $1,606
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.25 | $6,598 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.25 | $3,299 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.25 | $3,299 |
| 1× unit | 4 | 1.25 | $3,709 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,308 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $899,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $899,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $899,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $899,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $899,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $899,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $899,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $899,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $899,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $899,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Conveniently located triplex near Children’s Hospital and BART, with two 2-bed/1.25-bath units and one 4-bed/1.25-bath owner's unit. Enjoy proximity to the vibrant Temescal district along Telegraph Avenue, known for its popular dining, cafes, and local shops. A great opportunity for investors or owner-users to add value. Don’t miss neighborhood favorites like Emeryville's Bay Street and The Kingfish Pub on game days!
-
2026-04-17price $999,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Conveniently located triplex near Children’s Hospital and BART, with two 2-bed/1.25-bath units and one 4-bed/1.25-bath owner's unit. Enjoy proximity to the vibrant Temescal district along Telegraph Avenue, known for its popular dining, cafes, and local shops. A great opportunity for investors or owner-users to add value. Don’t miss neighborhood favorites like Emeryville's Bay Street and The Kingfish Pub on game days!
-
2026-04-01$1,099,000 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Conveniently located triplex near Children’s Hospital and BART, with two 2-bed/1.25-bath units and one 4-bed/1.25-bath owner's unit. Enjoy proximity to the vibrant Temescal district along Telegraph Avenue, known for its popular dining, cafes, and local shops. A great opportunity for investors or owner-users to add value. Don’t miss neighborhood favorites like Emeryville's Bay Street and The Kingfish Pub on game days!
-
2024-09-13historical
-
2024-05-17Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $17,376 · $1,448/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,376 · $1,448/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $123,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$17,376
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,896
- − Management
- −$9,896
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable income
- $5,523
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,395
- Household income
- $120,239
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2495.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Black 23% Asian 16% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -861.08%
- Current HPI
- 314.3464
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-18.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $899,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $999,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-04-01 Listed $1,099,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-09-13 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-05-17 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $17,376 · +179.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…