699 N Vulcan Ave #17 · Encinitas, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location, Location, Location Welcome to Encinitas Beach Living on a budget. Tucked away in a peaceful corner of a beautifully maintained community, this charming home offers the best of relaxed coastal living just 0.4 miles from Beacons Beach. Perfect for beach-loving couples or anyone who craves the sand and sea, the location alone is hard to beat but it’s the thoughtful touches throughout the home that truly make it special. Step inside to discover a spacious, open-concept kitchen with bar seating that flows seamlessly into a light-filled living area, where large windows invite in the golden California sun. Whether you're entertaining or enjoying a quiet morning coffee, this space f
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Private patio
- Deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-1 (single family residential)
- Financial info: Land lease: $2,030 monthly (renewal date: November 1, 2025)
- HOA & community: Community amenities include pool and club house; Community of 136 units; Curbs and sidewalks in the neighborhood
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Two carport spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story property; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Turnkey condition
- Exterior features: Concrete patio and enclosed/open patio areas; Shed on property; Community pool; Landscaped grounds; Close to clubhouse; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Gas cooking; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor; All bedrooms on ground level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with shower (walk-in shower, exhaust fan)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Front door entry; Turnkey condition; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary bathroom with walk-in shower and exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in closet; Stackable washer/dryer setup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.6% in Encinitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#54 in CA, #2,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- San Dieguito Union High (urban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #56 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.74%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $244,188
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 699 N Vulcan Ave #35 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 704 (+9%) | 6mo | $157,000 | $223 | 80 |
| 699 N Vulcan Ave #6 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+12%) | 7mo | $272,500 | $378 | 70 |
| 123 Jasper St #16 | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (-7%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $675 | 67 |
| 699 N Vulcan Ave #43 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (-13%) | 19mo | $170,000 | $304 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $39,517
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $149,401
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92024
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,018 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$634
- Net cashflow
- $1,009
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 925 N Vulcan Ave Encinitas, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $2,872 | $4.87 | 24d | 2 | 0.22mi |
| 1075 N Vulcan Ave Unit 05 Encinitas, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,471 | $4.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1435 N Vulcan Ave Apt 9 Encinitas, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,995 | $3.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1967 N Vulcan Ave Encinitas, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $3,895 | $4.19 | 1d | 7 | 1.42mi |
| 116 Quail Gardens Dr Encinitas, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $2,612 | $4.84 | 1d | 3 | 1.49mi |
| 810 3rd St Encinitas, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,695 | $4.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $199,000
-
2026-03-09$222,000 Active
-
2026-02-24historical
-
2025-11-07price $209,000
-
2025-10-07$225,000 Active
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2025-10-07historical
-
2025-09-24status Active
-
2025-09-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-09-12price $240,000
-
2025-08-23price $250,000
-
2025-06-21price $275,000
-
2025-05-22$300,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,985
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,898
- − Management
- −$2,898
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $9,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,282
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Dieguito Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0634380
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $110,199
- Composite
- 70.63/100
- National rank
- #519
- State rank
- #56 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Encinitas
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #2026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Encinitas, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 61,717
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,617
- Household income
- $158,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1537.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -881.14%
- Current HPI
- 461.5044
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.39%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-33.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $199,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $222,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $209,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $225,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-09-22 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $240,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $250,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $300,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…