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815-817 S Spruce St Fourplex
B Composite 71.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

815-817 S Spruce St · Elizabethtown, PA 17022
16 bd · 16.0 ba · 2,760 sqft · MultiFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 Good condition 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Elizabethtown Multi-Unit – Four individual units, each offering 1 bedroom, kitchen, living room, and full bath. Convenient location on a sidewalk-lined street with a yard and four easily accessible off-street parking spaces. Coin-operated laundry and a two-car garage provide additional income potential. Opportunity for investors seeking to add value and maximize returns.

Key facts

  • Yard
  • Convenient location
  • Off-street parking

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONSIDEWALK-LINED STREETYARDOFF-STREET PARKINGTWO-CAR GARAGEADDITIONAL INCOME POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfinished basement
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Property has 4 total units (all one-bedroom); All 4 units leased month-to-month; Income includes apartment rentals and laundry

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (rear entry) with additional storage and oversized space; 4 off-street parking spaces; On-street parking; Total of 6 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached structure; Slate roof
  • Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built (year per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Porches; Multiple balconies; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Entry-level bedroom(s)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining; Dining area; Traditional floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: On-site laundry income (laundry included in income)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $349/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $400k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.1% in Elizabethtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#201 in PA, #1,759 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Elizabethtown Area SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #123 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,267/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1404% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $400,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.48%
Cash-on-cash
14.96%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$43,526
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$237,969
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17022

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
25.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax est. 1.5%
$500 /mo · $6,000/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,106
Net cashflow
$1,397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,499
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 68%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $5,267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $400,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $400,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $400,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 373-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $400,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,204
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$6,000
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,056
− Management
−$5,056
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable income
$11,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,652
After-tax cash flow
$14,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family property is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. Painting the exterior and maintaining the landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can attract more potential tenants or buyers.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures the system is functioning properly and can improve both resale and rental value by providing a comfortable living environment.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can attract more potential tenants or buyers.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures the system is functioning properly and can improve both resale and rental value by providing a comfortable living environment.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elizabethtown Area SD
NCES district ID
4209120
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$59,380
Composite
46.94/100
National rank
#2361
State rank
#123 of 539 in PA

Livability — Elizabethtown

Score
80/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#1759

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elizabethtown, PA
County
Lancaster County · 390,309 people
City population
31,908
Metro
Lancaster, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,908
Household income
$86,767
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
1404.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.73%
Current HPI
266.3184
Rent YoY
▲ 6.52%
Metro
Lancaster, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $400,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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