602 SW 7th Ter · Concordia, MO 64020

$169,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market

Built 1954 6,098 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.2/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this very nice, recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home—an ideal opportunity to stop renting and start building your own equity. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this home blends comfort, affordability, and long-term value. The exterior is truly maintenance-friendly, featuring durable vinyl siding and a new metal roof designed to stand the test of time. Inside, you’ll find fresh updates that make the home feel bright, clean, and move-in ready. With three comfortable bedrooms and a well-appointed bath, the layout offers flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Whether you're a first-time buyer or simply ready to invest in yourself, this property delivers a smart alternative to renting—affordable, updated, and built for the future.

Key facts

• Move-in ready
• New metal roof
• Durable vinyl siding

Tags

• RECENTLY RENOVATED
• MAINTENANCE-FRIENDLY
• DURABLE VINYL SIDING
• NEW METAL ROOF
• FRESH UPDATES
• MOVE-IN READY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (16.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $141k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#207 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Concordia R-II (rural): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #109 of 324 in MO (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $141,124 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.29%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 10.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $102,544
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
312 S Leona St	0.27mi	3/1.0 (+1)	900 (+2%)	4mo	$104,500	$116	76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.07×
• Total profit: $98,252
• Equity at exit: $153,059

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.98×
• Total profit: $284,640
• Equity at exit: $330,078

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64020

• Home prices YoY: 22.2%
• Active inventory: 15
• Price-to-rent: 10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,411 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax from tax record: −$62 /mo · $746/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$296
• Net cashflow: $91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,296

Max offer price $169,900

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,475
• Closing costs: $5,097
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $169,900 Active 87 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   price $169,900 Active 86 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $175,000 Active 86 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $175,000 Active 85 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $175,000 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 71 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
17. 2026-05-18
    price $175,000 780-char remark

    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Step into this very nice, recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home—an ideal opportunity to stop renting and start building your own equity. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this home blends comfort, affordability, and long-term value. The exterior is truly maintenance-friendly, featuring durable vinyl siding and a new metal roof designed to stand the test of time. Inside, you’ll find fresh updates that make the home feel bright, clean, and move-in ready. With three comfortable bedrooms and a well-appointed bath, the layout offers flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Whether you're a first-time buyer or simply ready to invest in yourself, this property delivers a smart alternative to renting—affordable, updated, and built for the future.

18. 2026-03-24
    listed $180,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Step into this very nice, recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home—an ideal opportunity to stop renting and start building your own equity. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this home blends comfort, affordability, and long-term value. The exterior is truly maintenance-friendly, featuring durable vinyl siding and a new metal roof designed to stand the test of time. Inside, you’ll find fresh updates that make the home feel bright, clean, and move-in ready. With three comfortable bedrooms and a well-appointed bath, the layout offers flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Whether you're a first-time buyer or simply ready to invest in yourself, this property delivers a smart alternative to renting—affordable, updated, and built for the future.

19. 2026-03-24
    listed $180,000 Active 780-char remark

    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Step into this very nice, recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home—an ideal opportunity to stop renting and start building your own equity. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this home blends comfort, affordability, and long-term value. The exterior is truly maintenance-friendly, featuring durable vinyl siding and a new metal roof designed to stand the test of time. Inside, you’ll find fresh updates that make the home feel bright, clean, and move-in ready. With three comfortable bedrooms and a well-appointed bath, the layout offers flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Whether you're a first-time buyer or simply ready to invest in yourself, this property delivers a smart alternative to renting—affordable, updated, and built for the future.

20. 2007-08-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $746 · $62/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,648 · $137/mo
• Expected delta: +$902/yr (+$75/mo · 120.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,935
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,517
• − Property taxes: −$746
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,355
• − Management: −$1,355
• − Depreciation: −$4,943
• Taxable loss: −$1,830
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$439
• After-tax cash flow: $1,530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Concordia R-II
• NCES district ID: 2910080
• Math proficiency: 39% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $54,584
• Composite: 36.98/100
• National rank: #4527
• State rank: #109 of 324 in MO

Livability — Concordia

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #207
• US rank: #10455

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Concordia, MO
• Population (ZIP): 2,928

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,118 people
• By 2030: 29,993 · -3.6%
• By 2040: 27,436 · -11.8%
• By 2050: 24,585 · -21.0%
• By 2075: 18,426 · -40.8%
• By 2100: 12,897 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.9) · D 24.9% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -48.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.9 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 50.33%
• Current HPI: 277.29
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

-2.8% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Price Changed $175,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Listed $180,000 WCAR
• 2026-03-24 Listed $180,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-08-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $746 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.