201 Lanyard Dr · Broad Creek, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$775,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OUTSTANDING 5 BEDROOM/4 BATH HOME W/ INCREDIBLE UPGRADES AND ATTENTION TO DETAIL LOCATED IN DESIRABLE SOUNDFRONT BOGUE WATCH WITH WONDERFUL AMENITIES-POOL, CLUBHOUSE, PLAYGROUND, BOAT RAMP/MARINA, KAYAK LAUNCH AREA; FEATURES INCLUDE DESIRABLE OPEN FLOOR PLAN(GREATROOM, DINING, KITCHEN, PORCH/PATIO AREAS), BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ GE PROFILE STAINLESS, LARGE ISLAND AND MORE, WOOD & TILE FLOORING, ATTRACTIVE MOLDINGS, COFFERED & TRAY CEILINGS W/ ARCHED OPENINGS & ENTRANCES, EXCEPTIONAL 1ST LEVEL PRINCIPAL SUITE W/ WATERVIEWS, ADDITIONAL 1ST LEVEL BEDROOM(USED AS OFFICE), INVITING PORCH/ PATIO ENTERTAINMENT AREA W/ VERY NICE YARD, LANDSCAPING & WATERFRONT VIEWS, LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM, PANTRY, DOUBLE ATTACHED GARAGE; 2ND LEVEL HAS MORE BEDROOMS & BONUS/REC ROOMS, AMPLE STORAGE & CLOSETS, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOK UP, & MORE!
Key facts
- Pond front lot
- Brick paver patio
- In ground irrigation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Irrigation equipment
- Financial info: Association fee: billed annually
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Association amenities: clubhouse, gated community, playground, RV/boat storage, pool, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-facing concrete garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces); Paved driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors; Accessible full bath
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Generator (electric)
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Entry level: 1; Residential zoning; Frame and fiber cement construction
- Construction: Built with frame and fiber cement siding; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Front porch; Rear porch; Pergola; Level, landscaped lot with front and rear sprinklers; Pond waterfront; Paved private road frontage; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Gas range; Kitchen island; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms: information not specified
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Zoned heating; Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; High ceilings; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Pantry; Insulated windows; Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $775k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($100k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $775k).
- Recommended offer: $752k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#340 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: White Oak Elementary (math 76% / reading 65%, grade A-, #88 of 1,410 statewide, top 6%, 772 students, 100% FRL); Broad Creek Middle (math 63% / reading 68%, grade A-, #28 of 475 statewide, top 6%, 710 students, 100% FRL); Croatan High (math 82% / reading 78%, grade A, #73 of 535 statewide, top 13%, 974 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 39% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 60% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Carteret County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $16,603/mo this rent would consume 284% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $217k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($752k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $410k; list at $775k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.28%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $407,365
- Equity at exit
- $115,555
- IRR
- 49.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.80×
- Total profit
- $1,040,639
- Equity at exit
- $67,008
Cash invested: $217,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28570
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $16,603 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,064
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$323
- HOA
- −$161
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,487
- Net cashflow
- $8,370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8,808 | -5% $8,589 | +0% $8,370 | +5% $8,150 | +10% $7,931 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7,058 | -5% $7,714 | +0% $8,370 | +5% $9,026 | +10% $9,681 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8,760 | -0.5pp $8,567 | base $8,370 | +0.5pp $8,169 | +1.0pp $7,965 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $193,750
- Closing costs
- $23,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $161 · $1,932/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-13status $775,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $775,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-04-19$775,000 Active
-
2018-09-10soldstatus $410,000 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
OUTSTANDING 5 BEDROOM/4 BATH HOME W/ INCREDIBLE UPGRADES AND ATTENTION TO DETAIL LOCATED IN DESIRABLE SOUNDFRONT BOGUE WATCH WITH WONDERFUL AMENITIES-POOL, CLUBHOUSE, PLAYGROUND, BOAT RAMP/MARINA, KAYAK LAUNCH AREA; FEATURES INCLUDE DESIRABLE OPEN FLOOR PLAN(GREATROOM, DINING, KITCHEN, PORCH/PATIO AREAS), BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ GE PROFILE STAINLESS, LARGE ISLAND AND MORE, WOOD & TILE FLOORING, ATTRACTIVE MOLDINGS, COFFERED & TRAY CEILINGS W/ ARCHED OPENINGS & ENTRANCES, EXCEPTIONAL 1ST LEVEL PRINCIPAL SUITE W/ WATERVIEWS, ADDITIONAL 1ST LEVEL BEDROOM(USED AS OFFICE), INVITING PORCH/ PATIO ENTERTAINMENT AREA W/ VERY NICE YARD, LANDSCAPING & WATERFRONT VIEWS, LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM, PANTRY, DOUBLE ATTACHED GARAGE; 2ND LEVEL HAS MORE BEDROOMS & BONUS/REC ROOMS, AMPLE STORAGE & CLOSETS, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOK UP, & MORE!
-
2018-09-10soldstatus $410,000
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
OUTSTANDING 5 BEDROOM/4 BATH HOME W/ INCREDIBLE UPGRADES AND ATTENTION TO DETAIL LOCATED IN DESIRABLE SOUNDFRONT BOGUE WATCH WITH WONDERFUL AMENITIES-POOL, CLUBHOUSE, PLAYGROUND, BOAT RAMP/MARINA, KAYAK LAUNCH AREA; FEATURES INCLUDE DESIRABLE OPEN FLOOR PLAN(GREATROOM, DINING, KITCHEN, PORCH/PATIO AREAS), BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ GE PROFILE STAINLESS, LARGE ISLAND AND MORE, WOOD & TILE FLOORING, ATTRACTIVE MOLDINGS, COFFERED & TRAY CEILINGS W/ ARCHED OPENINGS & ENTRANCES, EXCEPTIONAL 1ST LEVEL PRINCIPAL SUITE W/ WATERVIEWS, ADDITIONAL 1ST LEVEL BEDROOM(USED AS OFFICE), INVITING PORCH/ PATIO ENTERTAINMENT AREA W/ VERY NICE YARD, LANDSCAPING & WATERFRONT VIEWS, LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM, PANTRY, DOUBLE ATTACHED GARAGE; 2ND LEVEL HAS MORE BEDROOMS & BONUS/REC ROOMS, AMPLE STORAGE & CLOSETS, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOK UP, & MORE!
-
2018-06-01$419,000 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
OUTSTANDING 5 BEDROOM/4 BATH HOME W/ INCREDIBLE UPGRADES AND ATTENTION TO DETAIL LOCATED IN DESIRABLE SOUNDFRONT BOGUE WATCH WITH WONDERFUL AMENITIES-POOL, CLUBHOUSE, PLAYGROUND, BOAT RAMP/MARINA, KAYAK LAUNCH AREA; FEATURES INCLUDE DESIRABLE OPEN FLOOR PLAN(GREATROOM, DINING, KITCHEN, PORCH/PATIO AREAS), BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ GE PROFILE STAINLESS, LARGE ISLAND AND MORE, WOOD & TILE FLOORING, ATTRACTIVE MOLDINGS, COFFERED & TRAY CEILINGS W/ ARCHED OPENINGS & ENTRANCES, EXCEPTIONAL 1ST LEVEL PRINCIPAL SUITE W/ WATERVIEWS, ADDITIONAL 1ST LEVEL BEDROOM(USED AS OFFICE), INVITING PORCH/ PATIO ENTERTAINMENT AREA W/ VERY NICE YARD, LANDSCAPING & WATERFRONT VIEWS, LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM, PANTRY, DOUBLE ATTACHED GARAGE; 2ND LEVEL HAS MORE BEDROOMS & BONUS/REC ROOMS, AMPLE STORAGE & CLOSETS, 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY HOOK UP, & MORE!
-
2015-03-29historical
-
2014-10-29$390,000
-
2010-01-19historical
-
2009-03-17$169,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,384 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,355 · $530/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,971/yr (+$331/mo · 166.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $199,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$43,412
- − Property taxes
- −$2,384
- − Insurance
- −$3,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,939
- − Management
- −$15,939
- − HOA
- −$1,932
- − Depreciation
- −$22,545
- Taxable income
- $93,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22,371
- After-tax cash flow
- $78,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carteret County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700630
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,330
- Composite
- 50.92/100
- National rank
- #1786
- State rank
- #31 of 178 in NC
Livability — Broad Creek
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #13718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carteret County · 52,389 people
- City population
- 22,197
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,197
- Household income
- $70,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 461.0
Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,443 people
- By 2030
- 75,344 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 78,142 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 80,091 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 86,120 · +17.3%
- By 2100
- 89,408 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carteret
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.54%
- Current HPI
- 276.6589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+356.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Listed $775,000 Hive MLS
- 2018-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $410,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-10 Sold (MLS) $410,000 Hive MLS
- 2018-06-01 Listed $419,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-03-29 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2014-10-29 Listed $390,000 Hive MLS
- 2010-01-19 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2009-03-17 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,384 · +24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…